Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.03.015 |
Long-Term Estimates of the Energy-Return-on-Investment (EROI) of Coal, Oil, and Gas,Global Productions | |
Court, Victor1,2,3; Fizaine, Florian4 | |
2017-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS |
ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 138 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France |
英文摘要 | We use a price-based methodology to assess the global energy-return-on-investment (EROI) of coal, oil, and gas, from the beginning of their reported production (respectively 1800,1860, and 1890) to 2012. It appears that the EROI of global oil and gas productions reached their maximum values in the 1930s-40s, respectively around 50:1 and 150:1, and have declined subsequently. Furthermore, we suggest that the EROI of global coal production has not yet reached its maximum value. Based on the original work of Dale et al. (2011), we then present a new theoretical dynamic expression of the EROL Modifications of the original model were needed in order to perform calibrations on each of our price-based historical estimates of coal, oil, and gas global EROI. Theoretical models replicate the fact that maximum EROI5 of global oil and gas productions have both already been reached while this is not the case for coal. In a prospective exercise, the models show the pace of the expected EROIs decrease for oil and gas in the coming century. Regarding coal, models are helpful to estimate the value and date of the EROI peak, which will most likely occur between 2025 and 2045, around a value of 95(+/- 15):1. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. |
英文关键词 | Fossil fuel prices Fossil fuel EROIs Theoretical EROI function |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402215800016 |
WOS关键词 | GLOBAL OIL ; NET ENERGY ; PEAK OIL ; GAS ; DEPLETION ; ECONOMY ; ENTROPY ; GROWTH ; LIMITS |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/15508 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Paris Nanterre, UPL, UMR 7235, EconomiX, 200 Ave Republ, F-92001 Nanterre, France; 2.IFP Energies Nouvelles, 1-4 Ave Bois Preau, F-92852 Rueil Malmaison, France; 3.Chaire Econ Climat, 28 Pl Bourse, F-75002 Paris, France; 4.Univ Bourgogne Franche Comte, LEDi, F-21066 Dijon, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Court, Victor,Fizaine, Florian. Long-Term Estimates of the Energy-Return-on-Investment (EROI) of Coal, Oil, and Gas,Global Productions[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2017,138. |
APA | Court, Victor,&Fizaine, Florian.(2017).Long-Term Estimates of the Energy-Return-on-Investment (EROI) of Coal, Oil, and Gas,Global Productions.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,138. |
MLA | Court, Victor,et al."Long-Term Estimates of the Energy-Return-on-Investment (EROI) of Coal, Oil, and Gas,Global Productions".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 138(2017). |
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