GSTDTAP  > 资源环境科学
DOI10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.11.038
The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia
Borgomeo, Edoardo1; Vadheim, Bryan2; Woldeyes, Firew B.3; Alamirew, Tena4; Tamru, Seneshaw5; Charles, Katrina J.6; Kebede, Seifu7; Walker, Oliver2
2018-04-01
发表期刊ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
ISSN0921-8009
EISSN1873-6106
出版年2018
卷号146页码:621-632
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England; Ethiopia; Belgium
英文摘要

This paper presents an analysis of the multi-sectoral and distributional economic impacts of rainfall shocks in the Awash river basin in Ethiopia. Using novel disaggregated data on crop production, we estimate the direct impacts of rainfall shocks on agriculture and then use a Computable General Equilibrium model to simulate how these rainfall shocks propagate through the wider economy of the basin under three different climate change scenarios. The basin's economy and expanding agricultural sector are highly vulnerable to the impacts of rainfall shocks. A rainfall decrease scenario could lead to a 5% decline in the basin's GDP, with agricultural GDP standing to drop by as much as 10%. All sectors benefit from greater rainfall amounts. Distributional impacts depend on income group, with poor households accruing greater benefits relative to non-poor households under a scenario of additional rainfall and suffering proportionally lower income losses under a scenario of rainfall decrease.


英文关键词Computable general equilibrium Ethiopia Rainfall variability Agricultural shocks Climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa Poverty
领域资源环境
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000425202700055
WOS关键词INDIRECT ECONOMIC-IMPACTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; WATER SECURITY ; VARIABILITY ; GROWTH ; FOOD ; DROUGHT ; AFRICA ; AGRICULTURE
WOS类目Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/15616
专题资源环境科学
作者单位1.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, S Parks Rd, Oxford OX1 3QY, England;
2.Vivid Econ, 26-28 Ely Pl, London EC1N 6TD, England;
3.Ethiopian Dev Res Inst, Macroecon & Trade Res Ctr, POB 2479, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia;
4.Addis Ababa Univ, Water & Land Resource Ctr, POB 3880, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia;
5.Katholieke Univ Leuven, LICOS Ctr Inst & Econ Performance, Leuven, Belgium;
6.Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England;
7.Addis Ababa Univ, Sch Earth Sci, POB 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Borgomeo, Edoardo,Vadheim, Bryan,Woldeyes, Firew B.,et al. The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2018,146:621-632.
APA Borgomeo, Edoardo.,Vadheim, Bryan.,Woldeyes, Firew B..,Alamirew, Tena.,Tamru, Seneshaw.,...&Walker, Oliver.(2018).The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,146,621-632.
MLA Borgomeo, Edoardo,et al."The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 146(2018):621-632.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Borgomeo, Edoardo]的文章
[Vadheim, Bryan]的文章
[Woldeyes, Firew B.]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Borgomeo, Edoardo]的文章
[Vadheim, Bryan]的文章
[Woldeyes, Firew B.]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Borgomeo, Edoardo]的文章
[Vadheim, Bryan]的文章
[Woldeyes, Firew B.]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。