Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.11.038 |
The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia | |
Borgomeo, Edoardo1; Vadheim, Bryan2; Woldeyes, Firew B.3; Alamirew, Tena4; Tamru, Seneshaw5; Charles, Katrina J.6; Kebede, Seifu7; Walker, Oliver2 | |
2018-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS
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ISSN | 0921-8009 |
EISSN | 1873-6106 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 146页码:621-632 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Ethiopia; Belgium |
英文摘要 | This paper presents an analysis of the multi-sectoral and distributional economic impacts of rainfall shocks in the Awash river basin in Ethiopia. Using novel disaggregated data on crop production, we estimate the direct impacts of rainfall shocks on agriculture and then use a Computable General Equilibrium model to simulate how these rainfall shocks propagate through the wider economy of the basin under three different climate change scenarios. The basin's economy and expanding agricultural sector are highly vulnerable to the impacts of rainfall shocks. A rainfall decrease scenario could lead to a 5% decline in the basin's GDP, with agricultural GDP standing to drop by as much as 10%. All sectors benefit from greater rainfall amounts. Distributional impacts depend on income group, with poor households accruing greater benefits relative to non-poor households under a scenario of additional rainfall and suffering proportionally lower income losses under a scenario of rainfall decrease. |
英文关键词 | Computable general equilibrium Ethiopia Rainfall variability Agricultural shocks Climate change in Sub-Saharan Africa Poverty |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425202700055 |
WOS关键词 | INDIRECT ECONOMIC-IMPACTS ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; RIVER-BASIN ; WATER SECURITY ; VARIABILITY ; GROWTH ; FOOD ; DROUGHT ; AFRICA ; AGRICULTURE |
WOS类目 | Ecology ; Economics ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Business & Economics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/15616 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Oxford, Environm Change Inst, S Parks Rd, Oxford OX1 3QY, England; 2.Vivid Econ, 26-28 Ely Pl, London EC1N 6TD, England; 3.Ethiopian Dev Res Inst, Macroecon & Trade Res Ctr, POB 2479, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; 4.Addis Ababa Univ, Water & Land Resource Ctr, POB 3880, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia; 5.Katholieke Univ Leuven, LICOS Ctr Inst & Econ Performance, Leuven, Belgium; 6.Univ Oxford, Sch Geog & Environm, Oxford, England; 7.Addis Ababa Univ, Sch Earth Sci, POB 1176, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Borgomeo, Edoardo,Vadheim, Bryan,Woldeyes, Firew B.,et al. The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia[J]. ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,2018,146:621-632. |
APA | Borgomeo, Edoardo.,Vadheim, Bryan.,Woldeyes, Firew B..,Alamirew, Tena.,Tamru, Seneshaw.,...&Walker, Oliver.(2018).The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia.ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS,146,621-632. |
MLA | Borgomeo, Edoardo,et al."The Distributional and Multi-Sectoral Impacts of Rainfall Shocks: Evidence From Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for the Awash Basin, Ethiopia".ECOLOGICAL ECONOMICS 146(2018):621-632. |
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