GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.009
Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach
Sharmina, Maria
2017-05-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号104
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

Despite the high profile of climate change in scientific and policy discourse, the Russian government has thus far failed to commit to an emission reduction target based on the latest science. Given Russia is a key supplier of fossil fuels, a major greenhouse gas emitter, and climate impacts on its vast territory likely to have far-reaching consequences, this contextual research shows that the country's current policies fall woefully short of what is required to implement the Paris Agreement. To support Russia in developing informed, internally consistent and scientifically literate energy policies, this paper presents low-carbon emission trajectories commensurate with the 2 degrees C goal, using stakeholder-informed backcasting. The results illustrate that even if Russia's CO2 emissions peak in 2017, a reduction rate of at least 9% per year between 2020 and 2030 is required to meet a 2 degrees C budget constraint. These sustained rates are in excess of anything achieved globally or, indeed, deemed possible within most studies. Such emission reductions would involve unprecedented material changes to Russia's energy system, including both rapidly cutting energy demand and building extensive low-carbon infrastructures. Nevertheless, failure to transform Russia's existing policies will likely have global repercussions for achieving the Paris Agreement's goals.


英文关键词Emission scenarios Backcasting Russia Climate change targets Cumulative emissions
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000397549500030
WOS关键词RENEWABLE ENERGY ; LOCK-IN ; STORAGE
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16918
专题气候变化
作者单位Univ Manchester, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, H Floor,Pariser Bldg,Sackville St, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England
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Sharmina, Maria. Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,104.
APA Sharmina, Maria.(2017).Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach.ENERGY POLICY,104.
MLA Sharmina, Maria."Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach".ENERGY POLICY 104(2017).
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