Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.009 |
Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach | |
Sharmina, Maria | |
2017-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 104 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England |
英文摘要 | Despite the high profile of climate change in scientific and policy discourse, the Russian government has thus far failed to commit to an emission reduction target based on the latest science. Given Russia is a key supplier of fossil fuels, a major greenhouse gas emitter, and climate impacts on its vast territory likely to have far-reaching consequences, this contextual research shows that the country's current policies fall woefully short of what is required to implement the Paris Agreement. To support Russia in developing informed, internally consistent and scientifically literate energy policies, this paper presents low-carbon emission trajectories commensurate with the 2 degrees C goal, using stakeholder-informed backcasting. The results illustrate that even if Russia's CO2 emissions peak in 2017, a reduction rate of at least 9% per year between 2020 and 2030 is required to meet a 2 degrees C budget constraint. These sustained rates are in excess of anything achieved globally or, indeed, deemed possible within most studies. Such emission reductions would involve unprecedented material changes to Russia's energy system, including both rapidly cutting energy demand and building extensive low-carbon infrastructures. Nevertheless, failure to transform Russia's existing policies will likely have global repercussions for achieving the Paris Agreement's goals. |
英文关键词 | Emission scenarios Backcasting Russia Climate change targets Cumulative emissions |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397549500030 |
WOS关键词 | RENEWABLE ENERGY ; LOCK-IN ; STORAGE |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16918 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Manchester, Tyndall Ctr Climate Change Res, H Floor,Pariser Bldg,Sackville St, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sharmina, Maria. Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,104. |
APA | Sharmina, Maria.(2017).Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach.ENERGY POLICY,104. |
MLA | Sharmina, Maria."Low-carbon scenarios for Russia's energy system: A participative backcasting approach".ENERGY POLICY 104(2017). |
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