Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1111/gcb.13486 |
Quantifying full phenological event distributions reveals simultaneous advances, temporal stability and delays in spring and autumn migration timing in long-distance migratory birds | |
Miles, Will T. S.1,2; Bolton, Mark3; Davis, Peter; Dennis, Roy4; Broad, Roger2; Robertson, Iain2; Riddiford, Nick J.2; Harvey, Paul V.5; Riddington, Roger6; Shaw, Deryk N.2; Parnaby, David2; Reid, Jane M.1,2 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
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ISSN | 1354-1013 |
EISSN | 1365-2486 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 23期号:4 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Scotland; England |
英文摘要 | Phenological changes in key seasonally expressed life-history traits occurring across periods of climatic and environmental change can cause temporal mismatches between interacting species, and thereby impact population and community dynamics. However, studies quantifying long-term phenological changes have commonly only measured variation occurring in spring, measured as the first or mean dates on which focal traits or events were observed. Few studies have considered seasonally paired events spanning spring and autumn or tested the key assumption that single convenient metrics accurately capture entire event distributions. We used 60 years (1955-2014) of daily bird migration census data from Fair Isle, Scotland, to comprehensively quantify the degree to which the full distributions of spring and autumn migration timing of 13 species of long-distance migratory bird changed across a period of substantial climatic and environmental change. In most species, mean spring and autumn migration dates changed little. However, the early migration phase (<= 10th percentile date) commonly got earlier, while the late migration phase (>= 90th percentile date) commonly got later. Consequently, species' total migration durations typically lengthened across years. Spring and autumn migration phenologies were not consistently correlated within or between years within species and hence were not tightly coupled. Furthermore, different metrics quantifying different aspects of migration phenology within seasons were not strongly cross-correlated, meaning that no single metric adequately described the full pattern of phenological change. These analyses therefore reveal complex patterns of simultaneous advancement, temporal stability and delay in spring and autumn migration phenologies, altering species' life-history structures. Additionally, they demonstrate that this complexity is only revealed if multiple metrics encompassing entire seasonal event distributions, rather than single metrics, are used to quantify phenological change. Existing evidence of long-term phenological changes detected using only one or two metrics should consequently be interpreted cautiously because divergent changes occurring simultaneously could potentially have remained undetected. |
英文关键词 | Fair Isle life-history events long-distance migration passerine phenology seasonal linking |
领域 | 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000396836800004 |
WOS关键词 | NORTH-ATLANTIC OSCILLATION ; GLOBAL CLIMATE-CHANGE ; ARRIVAL DATES ; WINTER DISTRIBUTION ; DEPARTURE DATES ; POPULATION-SIZE ; MIGRANT BIRDS ; EUROPE ; EVOLUTION ; RESPONSES |
WOS类目 | Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/16954 |
专题 | 气候变化 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Aberdeen, Sch Biol Sci, Inst Biol & Environm Sci, Aberdeen AB24 3FX, Scotland; 2.Fair Isle Bird Observ Trust, Fair Isle ZE2 9JU, Scotland; 3.UK Headquarters, RSPB Ctr Conservat Sci, Sandy SG19 2DL, Beds, England; 4.Highland Fdn Wildlife, Half Davoch Cottage, Dunphail IV36 2QR, Forres, Scotland; 5.Shetland Amen Trust, Shetland Biol Records Ctr, Garthspool ZE1 0NY, Lerwick, Scotland; 6.Spindrift, Eastshore ZE3 9JS, Scotland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Miles, Will T. S.,Bolton, Mark,Davis, Peter,et al. Quantifying full phenological event distributions reveals simultaneous advances, temporal stability and delays in spring and autumn migration timing in long-distance migratory birds[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(4). |
APA | Miles, Will T. S..,Bolton, Mark.,Davis, Peter.,Dennis, Roy.,Broad, Roger.,...&Reid, Jane M..(2017).Quantifying full phenological event distributions reveals simultaneous advances, temporal stability and delays in spring and autumn migration timing in long-distance migratory birds.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(4). |
MLA | Miles, Will T. S.,et al."Quantifying full phenological event distributions reveals simultaneous advances, temporal stability and delays in spring and autumn migration timing in long-distance migratory birds".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.4(2017). |
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