GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1111/gcb.13410
Tree demography dominates long-term growth trends inferred from tree rings
Brienen, Roel J. W.; Gloor, Manuel; Ziv, Guy
2017-02-01
发表期刊GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY
ISSN1354-1013
EISSN1365-2486
出版年2017
卷号23期号:2
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

Understanding responses of forests to increasing CO2 and temperature is an important challenge, but no easy task. Tree rings are increasingly used to study such responses. In a recent study, van der Sleen etal. (2014) Nature Geoscience, 8, 4 used tree rings from 12 tropical tree species and find that despite increases in intrinsic water use efficiency, no growth stimulation is observed. This challenges the idea that increasing CO2 would stimulate growth. Unfortunately, tree ring analysis can be plagued by biases, resulting in spurious growth trends. While their study evaluated several biases, it does not account for all. In particular, one bias may have seriously affected their results. Several of the species have recruitment patterns, which are not uniform, but clustered around one specific year. This results in spurious negative growth trends if growth rates are calculated in fixed size classes, as fast-growing' trees reach the sampling diameter earlier compared to slow growers and thus fast growth rates tend to have earlier calendar dates. We assessed the effect of this nonuniform age bias' on observed growth trends and find that van der Sleen's conclusions of a lack of growth stimulation do not hold. Growth trends are - at least partially - driven by underlying recruitment or age distributions. Species with more clustered age distributions show more negative growth trends, and simulations to estimate the effect of species' age distributions show growth trends close to those observed. Re-evaluation of the growth data and correction for the bias result in significant positive growth trends of 1-2% per decade for the full period, and 3-7% since 1950. These observations, however, should be taken cautiously as multiple biases affect these trend estimates. In all, our results highlight that tree ring studies of long-term growth trends can be strongly influenced by biases if demographic processes are not carefully accounted for.


英文关键词climate change CO2 fertilization dendrochronology growth stimulation population dynamics sample bias tropical forests
领域气候变化 ; 资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000394343300004
WOS关键词TROPICAL FORESTS ; CARBON SINK ; RATES ; SENSITIVITY ; PATTERNS ; DECLINE ; CYCLE
WOS类目Biodiversity Conservation ; Ecology ; Environmental Sciences
WOS研究方向Biodiversity & Conservation ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/17654
专题气候变化
资源环境科学
作者单位Univ Leeds, Sch Geog, Woodhouse Lane, Leeds LS2 9JT, W Yorkshire, England
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Brienen, Roel J. W.,Gloor, Manuel,Ziv, Guy. Tree demography dominates long-term growth trends inferred from tree rings[J]. GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,2017,23(2).
APA Brienen, Roel J. W.,Gloor, Manuel,&Ziv, Guy.(2017).Tree demography dominates long-term growth trends inferred from tree rings.GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY,23(2).
MLA Brienen, Roel J. W.,et al."Tree demography dominates long-term growth trends inferred from tree rings".GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY 23.2(2017).
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