Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.03.072 |
Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050 | |
Tan, Xianchun1; Lai, Haiping1,2; Gu, Baihe1; Zeng, Yuan1,2; Li, Hui1,2 | |
2018-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 118页码:429-439 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | The carbon dioxide generated by building sector accounts for approximately 30% of the total CO2 emissions in China. The building sector plays a significant role in Chinese low-carbon development. This study develops the CAS bottom-up model system to predict the future trend of.carbon emissions in China's building sector. Firstly, we sets three scenarios: business as usual (BAU), policy scenario, and synergistic emission reduction (SER) scenario, which consider the influence of low-carbon building policies and emission factors (i.e. power and heat emission factor (PEF and HEF)). Then we develop an emission reduction potential model to assess the CO2 abatement potential of the building sector in 2016-2050. The results reveal that low-carbon policies of building sector in policy scenario can only slow down but not curb the CO2 emission completely. The CO2 emissions will reach its peak before 2030 in the SER scenario, taking into account the impact of PEF and HEF. The analysis demonstrates that the synergistic reduction effect of inter-department will be better than that of one sector. Furthermore, green buildings, renewable energy building and energy conservation policies for district heating have a great influence on emission abatement in the building sector. |
英文关键词 | Carbon emission prediction Emission reduction potential Synergistic effect Emission factor |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000435050000038 |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY EFFICIENCY ; CO2 EMISSIONS ; CONSUMPTION ; URBAN |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/17990 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Sci & Dev, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China; 2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100190, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Tan, Xianchun,Lai, Haiping,Gu, Baihe,et al. Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,118:429-439. |
APA | Tan, Xianchun,Lai, Haiping,Gu, Baihe,Zeng, Yuan,&Li, Hui.(2018).Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050.ENERGY POLICY,118,429-439. |
MLA | Tan, Xianchun,et al."Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050".ENERGY POLICY 118(2018):429-439. |
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