Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1289/EHP4039 |
Climate Change and Physical Activity: Estimated Impacts of Ambient Temperatures on Bikeshare Usage in New York City | |
Heaney, Alexandra K.1; Carrion, Daniel1; Burkart, Katrin2; Lesk, Corey3; Jack, Darby1 | |
2019-03-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES |
ISSN | 0091-6765 |
EISSN | 1552-9924 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 127期号:3 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | BACKGROUND: Physical activity is one of the best disease prevention strategies, and it is influenced by environmental factors such as temperature. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to illuminate the relation between ambient temperature and bikeshare usage and to project how climate change-induced increasing ambient temperatures may influence active transportation in New York City. METHODS: The analysis leverages Citi Bike (R) bikeshare data to estimate participation in outdoor bicycling in New York City. Exposure-response functions are estimated for the relation between daily temperature and bike usage from 2013 to 2017. The estimated exposure-response relation is combined with temperature outputs from 21 climate models (run with emissions scenarios RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) to explore how climate change may influence future bike utilization. RESULTS: Estimated daily hours and distance ridden significantly increased as temperatures increased, but then declined at temperatures above 26-28 degrees C. Bike usage may increase by up to 3.1% by 2070 due to climate change. Future ridership increases during the winter, spring, and fall may more than offset future declines in summer ridership. DISCUSSION: Evidence suggesting nonlinear impacts of rising temperatures on health-promoting bicycle ridership demonstrates how challenging it is to anticipate the health consequences of climate change. We project increases in bicycling by mid-century in NYC, but this trend may reverse as temperatures continue to rise further into the future. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000462983500009 |
WOS关键词 | WEATHER CONDITIONS ; HEALTH-BENEFITS ; HEAT ; PARTICIPATION ; MORTALITY ; SEASON ; AGE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181521 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Columbia Univ, Environm Hlth Sci Dept, New York, NY USA; 2.Univ Washington, Inst Hlth Metr & Evaluat, Seattle, WA 98195 USA; 3.Columbia Univ, Earth & Environm Sci Dept, New York, NY USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Heaney, Alexandra K.,Carrion, Daniel,Burkart, Katrin,et al. Climate Change and Physical Activity: Estimated Impacts of Ambient Temperatures on Bikeshare Usage in New York City[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,2019,127(3). |
APA | Heaney, Alexandra K.,Carrion, Daniel,Burkart, Katrin,Lesk, Corey,&Jack, Darby.(2019).Climate Change and Physical Activity: Estimated Impacts of Ambient Temperatures on Bikeshare Usage in New York City.ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,127(3). |
MLA | Heaney, Alexandra K.,et al."Climate Change and Physical Activity: Estimated Impacts of Ambient Temperatures on Bikeshare Usage in New York City".ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 127.3(2019). |
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