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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0505.1
Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century
Krueger, Oliver; Feser, Frauke; Weisse, Ralf
2019-03-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2019
卷号32期号:6页码:1919-1931
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Germany
英文摘要

Geostrophic wind speeds calculated from mean sea level pressure readings are used to derive time series of northeast Atlantic storminess. The technique of geostrophic wind speed triangles provides relatively homogeneous long-term storm activity data and is thus suited for statistical analyses. This study makes use of historical air pressure data available from the International Surface Pressure Databank (ISPD) complemented with data from the Danish and Norwegian Meteorological Institutes. For the first time, the time series of northeast Atlantic storminess is extended until the most recent year available, that is, 2016. A multidecadal increasing trend in storm activity starting in the mid-1960s and lasting until the 1990s, whose high storminess levels are comparable to those found in the late nineteenth century, initiated debate over whether this would already be a sign of climate change. This study confirms that long-term storminess levels have returned to average values in recent years and that the multidecadal increase is part of an extended interdecadal oscillation. In addition, new storm activity uncertainty estimates were developed and novel insights into the connection with the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) are provided.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000473259700002
WOS关键词ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; SCANDINAVIAN STORMINESS ; WINTER STORMINESS ; EUROPE ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION ; REANALYSIS ; COASTAL ; NAO
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/181546
专题气候变化
作者单位Helmholtz Zentrum Geesthacht, Inst Coastal Res, Geesthacht, Germany
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GB/T 7714
Krueger, Oliver,Feser, Frauke,Weisse, Ralf. Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(6):1919-1931.
APA Krueger, Oliver,Feser, Frauke,&Weisse, Ralf.(2019).Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(6),1919-1931.
MLA Krueger, Oliver,et al."Northeast Atlantic Storm Activity and Its Uncertainty from the Late Nineteenth to the Twenty-First Century".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.6(2019):1919-1931.
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