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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0321.1
Nudging the Arctic Ocean to Quantify Sea Ice Feedbacks
Dekker, Evelien1,2; Bintanja, Richard3,4; Severijns, Camiel3
2019-04-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2019
卷号32期号:8页码:2381-2395
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Sweden; Netherlands
英文摘要

With Arctic summer sea ice potentially disappearing halfway through this century, the surface albedo and insulating effects of Arctic sea ice will decrease considerably. The ongoing Arctic sea ice retreat also affects the strength of the Planck, lapse rate, cloud, and surface albedo feedbacks together with changes in the heat exchange between the ocean and the atmosphere, but their combined effect on climate sensitivity has not been quantified. This study presents an estimate of all Arctic sea ice related climate feedbacks combined. We use a new method to keep Arctic sea ice at its present-day (PD) distribution under a changing climate in a 50-yr CO2 doubling simulation, using a fully coupled global climate model (EC-Earth, version 2.3). We nudge the Arctic Ocean to the (monthly dependent) year 2000 mean temperature and minimum salinity fields on a mask representing PD sea ice cover. We are able to preserve about 95% of the PD mean March and 77% of the September PD Arctic sea ice extent by applying this method. Using simulations with and without nudging, we estimate the climate response associated with Arctic sea ice changes. The Arctic sea ice feedback globally equals 0.28 +/- 0.15 W m(-2) K-1. The total sea ice feedback thus amplifies the climate response for a doubling of CO2, in line with earlier findings. Our estimate of the Arctic sea ice feedback agrees reasonably well with earlier CMIP5 global climate feedback estimates and shows that the Arctic sea ice exerts a considerable effect on the Arctic and global climate sensitivity.


英文关键词Arctic Sea ice Feedback Climate sensitivity Feedback Climate models
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000463886900001
WOS关键词CLIMATE MODEL SENSITIVITY ; POLAR AMPLIFICATION ; DISCREPANCY ; DECLINE
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/182150
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Stockholm Univ, Dept Meteorol, Stockholm, Sweden;
2.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden;
3.Royal Netherlands Meteorol Inst KNMI, De Bilt, Netherlands;
4.Univ Groningen, Energy & Sustainabil Res Inst Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands
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Dekker, Evelien,Bintanja, Richard,Severijns, Camiel. Nudging the Arctic Ocean to Quantify Sea Ice Feedbacks[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(8):2381-2395.
APA Dekker, Evelien,Bintanja, Richard,&Severijns, Camiel.(2019).Nudging the Arctic Ocean to Quantify Sea Ice Feedbacks.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(8),2381-2395.
MLA Dekker, Evelien,et al."Nudging the Arctic Ocean to Quantify Sea Ice Feedbacks".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.8(2019):2381-2395.
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