GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1007/s00382-018-4488-5
Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation
Monerie, Paul-Arthur1; Oudar, Thomas2; Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia3
2019-05-01
发表期刊CLIMATE DYNAMICS
ISSN0930-7575
EISSN1432-0894
出版年2019
卷号52页码:5947-5964
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England; Canada; France
英文摘要

The impact of climate change on Sahel precipitation is uncertain and has to be widely documented. Recently, it has been shown that Arctic sea ice loss leverages the global warming effects worldwide, suggesting a potential impact of Arctic sea ice decline on tropical regions. However, defining the specific roles of increasing greenhouse gases (GHG) concentration and declining Arctic sea ice extent on Sahel climate is not straightforward since the former impacts the latter. We avoid this dependency by analysing idealized experiments performed with the CNRM-CM5 coupled model. Results show that the increase in GHG concentration explains most of the Sahel precipitation change. We found that the impact due to Arctic sea ice loss depends on the level of atmospheric GHG concentration. When the GHG concentration is relatively low (values representative of 1980s), then the impact is moderate over the Sahel. However, when the concentration in GHG is levelled up, then Arctic sea ice loss leads to increased Sahel precipitation. In this particular case the ocean-land meridional gradient of temperature strengthens, allowing a more intense monsoon circulation. We linked the non-linearity of Arctic sea ice decline impact with differences in temperature and sea level pressure changes over the North Atlantic Ocean. We argue that the impact of the Arctic sea ice loss will become more relevant with time, in the context of climate change.


英文关键词CMIP climate models West African Monsoon Sahel precipitation Arctic-tropic teleconnection Arctic sea ice decline Climate Change
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000465441400049
WOS关键词ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE ; SEASONAL CYCLE ; AFRICAN MONSOON ; HEAT LOW ; TEMPERATURE ; RAINFALL ; SST ; CMIP5 ; VARIABILITY ; CIRCULATION
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/182625
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Reading, NCAS, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England;
2.Univ Toronto, Dept Phys, Toronto, ON, Canada;
3.CERFACS, CNRS, CECI, Toulouse, France
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Monerie, Paul-Arthur,Oudar, Thomas,Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia. Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation[J]. CLIMATE DYNAMICS,2019,52:5947-5964.
APA Monerie, Paul-Arthur,Oudar, Thomas,&Sanchez-Gomez, Emilia.(2019).Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation.CLIMATE DYNAMICS,52,5947-5964.
MLA Monerie, Paul-Arthur,et al."Respective impacts of Arctic sea ice decline and increasing greenhouse gases concentration on Sahel precipitation".CLIMATE DYNAMICS 52(2019):5947-5964.
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