Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JAS-D-18-0301.1 |
Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation | |
Morales, Annareli1,2; Posselt, Derek J.3; Morrison, Hugh2; He, Fei4 | |
2019-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
![]() |
ISSN | 0022-4928 |
EISSN | 1520-0469 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 76期号:5页码:1373-1395 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Microphysical (MP) schemes contain parameters whose values can impact the amount and location of forecasted precipitation, and sensitivity is typically explored by perturbing one parameter at a time while holding the rest constant. Although much can be learned from these "one-at-a-time" studies, the results are limited as these methods do not allow for nonlinear interactions of multiple perturbed parameters. This study applies the Morris one-at-a-time (MOAT) method, a robust statistical tool allowing for simultaneous perturbation of numerous parameters, to explore orographic precipitation sensitivity to changes in microphysical and environmental parameters within an environment characteristic of an atmospheric river. Results show parameters associated with snow fall speed coefficient A(s) and density rho(s), ice-cloud water collection efficiency (ECI), rain accretion (WRA), relative humidity, zonal wind speed, and surface potential temperature cause the largest influence on simulated precipitation. MP and environmental parameter perturbations can cause precipitation changes of similar magnitude, but results vary by location on the mountain. Different environments are also tested, with A(s) being the most influential MP parameter regardless of environment. Fewer MP parameters influence precipitation in a faster-wind-speed environment, possibly due to the stronger dynamical forcing upwind and different wave dynamics downwind, compared to a slower-wind-speed environment. Finally, perturbing MP parameters within a single scheme can result in precipitation variations of similar magnitude compared to using entirely different microphysics schemes. MOAT results presented in this study have implications for Bayesian parameter estimation methods and stochastic parameterization within ensemble forecasting. |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000467428300001 |
WOS关键词 | CHANGING AMBIENT CONDITIONS ; 2001 IMPROVE-2 EVENT ; SENSITIVITY-ANALYSIS ; PART II ; ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS ; CLOUD MICROPHYSICS ; PACIFIC-OCEAN ; NEUTRAL FLOW ; MODEL ; MOIST |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/183024 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA; 2.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA; 3.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA USA; 4.Univ Calif Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Morales, Annareli,Posselt, Derek J.,Morrison, Hugh,et al. Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation[J]. JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2019,76(5):1373-1395. |
APA | Morales, Annareli,Posselt, Derek J.,Morrison, Hugh,&He, Fei.(2019).Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation.JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,76(5),1373-1395. |
MLA | Morales, Annareli,et al."Assessing the Influence of Microphysical and Environmental Parameter Perturbations on Orographic Precipitation".JOURNAL OF THE ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 76.5(2019):1373-1395. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论