Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.12.009 |
Climate change and hydropower in the Southern African Power Pool and Zambezi River Basin: System-wide impacts and policy implications | |
Spalding-Fecher, Randall1; Joyce, Brian2; Winkle, Harald3 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 103 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Norway; USA; South Africa |
英文摘要 | This paper examines climate change impact on hydropower will affect the expansion of the regional electricity system, as well as system costs and greenhouse gas emissions. The output from major Zambezi hydropower plants could decline by 10-20% under a drying climate, while wetting of the basin produces only a marginal increase. At a regional level, the increases in electricity generation costs are relatively small (less than 1% over the long term), but could reach 20-30% in the near term for hydro-dependent countries (e.g. Mozambique and Zambia). Because some hydropower could be displaced by coal, regional greenhouse gas emissions could increase by the equivalent of a large coal-fired power station. The risks to regional electricity systems highlight the need for strong cooperative governance arrangements to manage shared water resources in the region, which could be bolstered by recent political initiatives. Beyond the level of individual investments, a policy shift is needed to integrate climate change and upstream development considerations into national and regional electricity planning, supported by relevant tools. In addition, the potential for increased carbon emissions has implications for the commitments of southern African countries under the Paris Agreement to the UNFCCC. |
英文关键词 | Hydropower Climate change impacts Regional electricity planning Southern Africa |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397356000007 |
WOS关键词 | PRIORITY-DRIVEN ; DEMAND-DRIVEN ; SCENARIOS ; ENERGY ; WEAP21 |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18321 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Carbon Limits AS, Ovre Vollgate 6, N-0158 Oslo, Norway; 2.Stockholm Environm Inst US Ctr, 11 Curtis Ave, Somerville, MA USA; 3.Univ Cape Town, Energy Res Ctr, Cape Town, South Africa |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Spalding-Fecher, Randall,Joyce, Brian,Winkle, Harald. Climate change and hydropower in the Southern African Power Pool and Zambezi River Basin: System-wide impacts and policy implications[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,103. |
APA | Spalding-Fecher, Randall,Joyce, Brian,&Winkle, Harald.(2017).Climate change and hydropower in the Southern African Power Pool and Zambezi River Basin: System-wide impacts and policy implications.ENERGY POLICY,103. |
MLA | Spalding-Fecher, Randall,et al."Climate change and hydropower in the Southern African Power Pool and Zambezi River Basin: System-wide impacts and policy implications".ENERGY POLICY 103(2017). |
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