GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1029/2019JD030257
The Effects of a 1998 Observing System Change on MERRA-2-Based Ozone Profile Simulations
Stauffer, Ryan M.1,2; Thompson, Anne M.2; Oman, Luke D.2; Strahan, Susan E.1,2
2019-07-16
发表期刊JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES
ISSN2169-897X
EISSN2169-8996
出版年2019
卷号124期号:13页码:7429-7441
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

Model simulations of ozone (O-3) driven by meteorological reanalyses are useful for filling observational gaps and interpreting observed O-3 variability and trends. However, the transport circulation of reanalysis products is impacted by changes to the observing system (the data assimilated into the reanalyses). We examine the impacts of these changes on simulated O-3 from two models, Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) Chemistry Transport Model (GMI CTM) and Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research Applications version 2 (MERRA-2) GMI Replay (M2 GMI Replay) simulation, using observations from global ozonesondes (>50,000 profiles) and satellites from 1980 to 2016. Both models are constrained by meteorology from the NASA MERRA-2 reanalysis, and both use versions of NASA's GMI chemical mechanism. We focus on an observing system change affecting simulated O-3 after 1998, associated with the assimilation of temperature and humidity data from new microwave profiling satellites. A large post-1998 O-3 increase, mainly confined to 15-20-km altitude, of 10 Dobson units (DU) in midlatitudes occurs in the GMI CTM, worsening the bias compared to observations. In contrast, an increase in M2 GMI Replay simulation O-3 of 10 DU is observed only near -60 degrees latitude, reducing the bias compared to observations. The GMI CTM O-3 high biases display a Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO)-like periodicity that result from excessive transport from the tropical stratosphere to the midlatitude lower stratosphere during the QBO westerly phase. We quantify O-3 discontinuities caused by MERRA-2 observing system changes and demonstrate how the MERRA-2 Global Modeling Initiative Replay simulation dampens the effects of these changes and QBO-driven artifacts on simulated lower stratospheric and total O-3. We caution against using simulations driven by a reanalysis to derive multidecadal O-3 trends, especially prior to 1998.


英文关键词model evaluation MERRA-2 ozonesonde CTM Replay
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000477580200045
WOS关键词SATELLITE MEASUREMENTS ; TRANSPORT ; DECLINE ; TRENDS ; MODEL
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185155
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Space Res Assoc, Columbia, MD 21046 USA;
2.NASA GSFC, Atmospher Chem & Dynam Lab, Greenbelt, MD 20771 USA
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Stauffer, Ryan M.,Thompson, Anne M.,Oman, Luke D.,et al. The Effects of a 1998 Observing System Change on MERRA-2-Based Ozone Profile Simulations[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,2019,124(13):7429-7441.
APA Stauffer, Ryan M.,Thompson, Anne M.,Oman, Luke D.,&Strahan, Susan E..(2019).The Effects of a 1998 Observing System Change on MERRA-2-Based Ozone Profile Simulations.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES,124(13),7429-7441.
MLA Stauffer, Ryan M.,et al."The Effects of a 1998 Observing System Change on MERRA-2-Based Ozone Profile Simulations".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 124.13(2019):7429-7441.
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