Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.02.019 |
Assessing energy consumption, CO2 and pollutant emissions and health benefits from China's transport sector through 2050 | |
Liu, Lei1,2; Wang, Ke1,2; Wang, Shanshan1,2; Zhang, Ruiqin1,2; Tang, Xiaoyan2 | |
2018-05-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 116页码:382-396 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China |
英文摘要 | With the accelerating process of urbanization, energy consumption and emissions of the transport sector in China have increased rapidly. In this paper, we employed the LEAP (Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system) model to estimate the energy consumption, CO2 (carbon dioxide) and air pollutant emissions of the transport sector between 2010 and 2050 under four scenarios: Business as Usual (MU), Energy Efficiency Improvement (EEI), Transport Mode Optimization (TMO), and Comprehensive Policy (CP). Furthermore, the intake fraction method was adopted to assess the health benefits of reducing pollutant emissions. The results showed that energy consumption will reach 509-1284 Mtce under the different scenarios by 2050. The emissions of CO2, carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxide (NOx) and particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5) will be 2601, 173, 3.4, 24.0, 0.94 and 0.78 Mt, respectively, under the BAU scenario in 2050. Regarding health benefits, economic losses caused by mortality will be reduced by 47, 40 and 72 billion USD in 2050 under the EEI, TMO and CP scenarios, respectively, compared to those under the MU scenario. Among the health outcomes associated with PM10, acute bronchitis exhibits the worst outcome. Considering health impacts, policy implications are suggested to reduce CO2 and pollutant emissions. |
英文关键词 | Energy demand Emission reduction LEAP model Scenario analysis Intake fraction method Health benefits |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000430758200040 |
WOS关键词 | GREENHOUSE-GAS EMISSIONS ; AMBIENT AIR-POLLUTION ; SCENARIO ANALYSIS ; MITIGATION SCENARIOS ; HOSPITAL ADMISSIONS ; VEHICLE EMISSIONS ; HYBRID VEHICLES ; INTAKE FRACTION ; GHG EMISSIONS ; REDUCTION |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18541 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Zhengzhou Univ, Coll Chem & Mol Engn, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, Peoples R China; 2.Zhengzhou Univ, Res Inst Environm Sci, Zhengzhou 450001, Henan, Peoples R China |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Liu, Lei,Wang, Ke,Wang, Shanshan,et al. Assessing energy consumption, CO2 and pollutant emissions and health benefits from China's transport sector through 2050[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,116:382-396. |
APA | Liu, Lei,Wang, Ke,Wang, Shanshan,Zhang, Ruiqin,&Tang, Xiaoyan.(2018).Assessing energy consumption, CO2 and pollutant emissions and health benefits from China's transport sector through 2050.ENERGY POLICY,116,382-396. |
MLA | Liu, Lei,et al."Assessing energy consumption, CO2 and pollutant emissions and health benefits from China's transport sector through 2050".ENERGY POLICY 116(2018):382-396. |
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