Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41558-019-0525-6 |
An emerging tropical cyclone-deadly heat compound hazard | |
Matthews, T.1; Wilby, R. L.1; Murphy, C.2 | |
2019-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE |
ISSN | 1758-678X |
EISSN | 1758-6798 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 9期号:8页码:602-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; Ireland |
英文摘要 | Climate change may bring new hazards through novel combinations of extreme weather (compound events)(1). Here we evaluate the possibility of dangerous heat following major tropical cyclones (TCs)-a combination with serious potential consequences given that mega-blackouts may follow powerful TCs2, and the heavy reliance on air conditioning(3). We show that 'TC-heat' events are already possible along densely populated coastlines globally but, to date, only an estimated 1,000 people have been impacted. However, this number could rise markedly with over two million at risk under a storyline of the observed TCs recurring in a world 2 degrees C warmer than pre-industrial times. Using analogues as focusing events we show, for example, that if the catastrophic 1991 Bangladesh cyclone occurred with 2 degrees C global warming, there would be >70% chance of subsequent dangerous heat. This research highlights a gap in adaptation planning and a need to prepare for an emerging TC-heat compound hazard. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000477738300015 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; INTENSITY ; RISK |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185796 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Loughborough Univ, Dept Geog & Environm, Loughborough, Leics, England; 2.Maynooth Univ, Dept Geog, Irish Climate Anal & Res Units, Maynooth, Kildare, Ireland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Matthews, T.,Wilby, R. L.,Murphy, C.. An emerging tropical cyclone-deadly heat compound hazard[J]. NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,2019,9(8):602-+. |
APA | Matthews, T.,Wilby, R. L.,&Murphy, C..(2019).An emerging tropical cyclone-deadly heat compound hazard.NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE,9(8),602-+. |
MLA | Matthews, T.,et al."An emerging tropical cyclone-deadly heat compound hazard".NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE 9.8(2019):602-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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