Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/joc.6254 |
Trends in precipitation days in the United States | |
Bartels, Rudy J.1; Black, Alan W.2; Keim, Barry D.1 | |
2019-08-13 | |
发表期刊 | INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY |
ISSN | 0899-8418 |
EISSN | 1097-0088 |
出版年 | 2019 |
文章类型 | Article;Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Changes in precipitation frequency can have a major impact on many different sectors including agriculture, tourism, and recreation. This study investigates trends in precipitation days at first-order weather stations across the conterminous United States from 1951 to 2015. The Mann-Kendall test and sliding window correlation analysis are used to examine trends over time. Future precipitation days are forecasted via usage of a stepwise auto-regressive model. The Mann-Kendall test found that the majority of the Northeast and Midwestern states show upward trends in precipitation days, while negative trends are located in the Southeast and in clusters throughout the Northwest. Sliding window correlation analysis was used to detect the decade when most of the change in precipitation days occurred. The northeastern United States had more significant changes during the earlier decades whereas the centre part of the country had more significant changes in the later decades. Most stations saw more decades with positive (increasing) trends in precipitation days. Precipitation days are expected to increase for most of the United States into the future. |
英文关键词 | forecasting precipitation days trends |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000482050800001 |
WOS关键词 | HEAVY RAINFALL ; STATISTICAL-ANALYSIS ; 1988 DROUGHT ; CLIMATE ; VARIABILITY ; FREQUENCY ; EVENTS ; PATTERNS ; PACIFIC ; DRY |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/185962 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Louisiana State Univ, Dept Geog & Anthropol, 227 Howe Russell Kniffen Geosci Complex, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 2.Southern Illinois Univ Edwardsville, Dept Geog, Edwardsville, IL USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Bartels, Rudy J.,Black, Alan W.,Keim, Barry D.. Trends in precipitation days in the United States[J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY,2019. |
APA | Bartels, Rudy J.,Black, Alan W.,&Keim, Barry D..(2019).Trends in precipitation days in the United States.INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY. |
MLA | Bartels, Rudy J.,et al."Trends in precipitation days in the United States".INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY (2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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