GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1029/2019GL083745
Quantifying the Local Effect of Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocks on the Persistence of Summer Hot and Dry Spells
Rothlisberger, Matthias1,2,3; Martius, Olivia1,2,4
2019-08-28
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2019
卷号46期号:16页码:10101-10111
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Switzerland
英文摘要

The persistence of heat waves and droughts is a key factor in determining their societal impact. Here, the local effect of atmospheric blocks on the persistence of summer hot and dry spells is quantified by comparing their climatological daily survival probability, that is, the probability to survive the next day, to their daily survival probability when they co-occur with a block. The survival odds of hot spells are increased by more than 50% over most of the Northern Hemisphere extratropical land masses when co-occurring with blocks. Dry spell persistence is also strongly increased by colocated blocks over western North America, Europe, and southern Russia, while it is significantly decreased over the western North Atlantic and the western North Pacific. These spatial differences in the effect of blocks on both spell types are explained by considering the spatially varying surface temperature and precipitation anomalies induced by the blocks.


Plain Language Summary The persistence of heat waves and droughts strongly affects how challenging these weather events are to societies. However, the meteorological phenomena that foster the persistence of heat waves and droughts are not yet fully understood. Here we focus on one such meteorological phenomenon, namely, stationary high-pressure systems known as atmospheric blocks, and quantify their effect on the persistence of hot and dry spells that co-occur with the blocks. For hot spells, this effect is positive almost everywhere blocks occur in the Northern Hemisphere, most strongly so over land. Dry spell persistence is also strongly affected by blocks, but the effect can be either positive or negative. Over land, the strongest positive effects of blocks on dry spell persistence are found over western North America, Europe, and southern Russia. There, blocks also increase the persistence of so-called compound hot and dry spells, that is, periods with both hot and dry weather occurring concomitantly. Our results show that changes in the number and geographical distribution of blocks with climate change would significantly affect hot and dry spell persistence in a future climate.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000490966700086
WOS关键词SCALE ROSSBY-WAVE ; SOIL-MOISTURE ; HEAT-WAVE ; CLIMATE ; RESPONSES ; EXTREMES ; DROUGHT ; IMPACT ; COLD ; FLOW
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/186201
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Bern, Inst Geog, Bern, Switzerland;
2.Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res, Bern, Switzerland;
3.Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Inst Atmospher & Climate Sci, Zurich, Switzerland;
4.Univ Bern, Mobiliar Lab Nat Risks, Bern, Switzerland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Rothlisberger, Matthias,Martius, Olivia. Quantifying the Local Effect of Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocks on the Persistence of Summer Hot and Dry Spells[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(16):10101-10111.
APA Rothlisberger, Matthias,&Martius, Olivia.(2019).Quantifying the Local Effect of Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocks on the Persistence of Summer Hot and Dry Spells.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(16),10101-10111.
MLA Rothlisberger, Matthias,et al."Quantifying the Local Effect of Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocks on the Persistence of Summer Hot and Dry Spells".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.16(2019):10101-10111.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Rothlisberger, Matthias]的文章
[Martius, Olivia]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Rothlisberger, Matthias]的文章
[Martius, Olivia]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Rothlisberger, Matthias]的文章
[Martius, Olivia]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。