GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.042
Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK
Graziano, Marcello1,2; Lecca, Patrizio3,5; Musso, Marta4
2017-09-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号108
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Scotland; USA; Spain; Italy
英文摘要

Offshore wind power (OSW) plays a key role within the UK strategy for a transition towards a low-carbon economy, offering vast potential for establishing a high-tech manufacturing industry. Previous experiences in the onshore sector (OWP) suggest the UK might fail in fully capturing these macroeconomic benefits. In this work, we investigate the history of UK renewable policies, comparing its national strategy to those of other major OSW-export countries. Through the use of a numerical general equilibrium model, we quantify the macroeconomic impacts under three scenarios: a baseline, which relies on previous estimates and foresee limited local content; a 'contamination' scenario, where the UK content reaches the same levels of OWP; and a 'non-myopic' scenario, where investors expect governmental support to decrease or disappear, replicating a common path of past renewable policies. We identify the UK as a FDI-oriented country. Our results suggest that increasing the share of locally-sourced capital goods in OSP to OWP-level could generate larger income and employment effects in the UK economy. We find that under forward-looking investors the economic benefits are significantly lower than the case of myopic agents. Our results show an inherent conflict with stated purposes of UK policy for OSW.


英文关键词CGE Economic modelling Employment Energy policy Local content Offshore wind
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000406725800067
WOS关键词RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES ; GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM-ANALYSIS ; WAGE CURVE ; INCREASED EFFICIENCY ; ECONOMIC-GEOGRAPHY ; CINDERELLA OPTIONS ; FORWARD-LOOKING ; POLICY ; INVESTMENT ; SCOTLAND
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18665
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Scottish Assoc Marine Sci, Laurence Mee Ctr Soc & Sea, Oban PA37 1QA, Argyll, Scotland;
2.Cent Michigan Univ, Dept Geog, Dow Sci Complex 279, Mt Pleasant, MI 48859 USA;
3.DG Joint Res Ctr, European Commiss, Seville, Spain;
4.European Univ Inst, Via Roccettini 9, I-50014 Fiesole, Italy;
5.Univ Strathclyde, Fraser Allander Inst, Glasgow G40 GE, Lanark, Scotland
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Graziano, Marcello,Lecca, Patrizio,Musso, Marta. Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,108.
APA Graziano, Marcello,Lecca, Patrizio,&Musso, Marta.(2017).Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK.ENERGY POLICY,108.
MLA Graziano, Marcello,et al."Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK".ENERGY POLICY 108(2017).
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