Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.06.042 |
Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK | |
Graziano, Marcello1,2; Lecca, Patrizio3,5; Musso, Marta4 | |
2017-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 108 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Scotland; USA; Spain; Italy |
英文摘要 | Offshore wind power (OSW) plays a key role within the UK strategy for a transition towards a low-carbon economy, offering vast potential for establishing a high-tech manufacturing industry. Previous experiences in the onshore sector (OWP) suggest the UK might fail in fully capturing these macroeconomic benefits. In this work, we investigate the history of UK renewable policies, comparing its national strategy to those of other major OSW-export countries. Through the use of a numerical general equilibrium model, we quantify the macroeconomic impacts under three scenarios: a baseline, which relies on previous estimates and foresee limited local content; a 'contamination' scenario, where the UK content reaches the same levels of OWP; and a 'non-myopic' scenario, where investors expect governmental support to decrease or disappear, replicating a common path of past renewable policies. We identify the UK as a FDI-oriented country. Our results suggest that increasing the share of locally-sourced capital goods in OSP to OWP-level could generate larger income and employment effects in the UK economy. We find that under forward-looking investors the economic benefits are significantly lower than the case of myopic agents. Our results show an inherent conflict with stated purposes of UK policy for OSW. |
英文关键词 | CGE Economic modelling Employment Energy policy Local content Offshore wind |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000406725800067 |
WOS关键词 | RENEWABLE ENERGY TECHNOLOGIES ; GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM-ANALYSIS ; WAGE CURVE ; INCREASED EFFICIENCY ; ECONOMIC-GEOGRAPHY ; CINDERELLA OPTIONS ; FORWARD-LOOKING ; POLICY ; INVESTMENT ; SCOTLAND |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18665 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Scottish Assoc Marine Sci, Laurence Mee Ctr Soc & Sea, Oban PA37 1QA, Argyll, Scotland; 2.Cent Michigan Univ, Dept Geog, Dow Sci Complex 279, Mt Pleasant, MI 48859 USA; 3.DG Joint Res Ctr, European Commiss, Seville, Spain; 4.European Univ Inst, Via Roccettini 9, I-50014 Fiesole, Italy; 5.Univ Strathclyde, Fraser Allander Inst, Glasgow G40 GE, Lanark, Scotland |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Graziano, Marcello,Lecca, Patrizio,Musso, Marta. Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,108. |
APA | Graziano, Marcello,Lecca, Patrizio,&Musso, Marta.(2017).Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK.ENERGY POLICY,108. |
MLA | Graziano, Marcello,et al."Historic paths and future expectations: The macroeconomic impacts of the offshore wind technologies in the UK".ENERGY POLICY 108(2017). |
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