GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2017.04.006
Extreme temperature events affecting the electricity distribution system of the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires (1971-2013)
Santagata, Daniela M.1,2; Castesana, Paula3; Rossler, Cristina E.1,3; Gomez, Dario R.1
2017-07-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号106
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Argentina
英文摘要

We studied the role of cold waves and heat waves on major power outages in the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires. Impacts of events occurring in the tails of distributions were assessed estimating deviations of minimum temperature, maximum temperature and hourly electricity consumption with respect to statistically derived thresholds and using three sets of data: temperature observations (1911-2013); major power outages reported in a disaster database (1971-2013) and hourly electricity consumption (2006-2013). These deviations (exceedances) proved to be adequate indicators of the stress posed by extreme temperature events to the electricity distribution system leading to major blackouts. Based on these indicators, we found that the electricity distribution system was under similar stress during cold waves or heat waves, but it was much more vulnerable to heat waves (three blackouts under cold waves against 20 under heat waves between 2006 and 2013). For heat waves, the results of a binomial regression logistic model provided an adequate description of the probability of disastrous supply interruptions in terms of exceedances in extreme temperatures and electricity consumption stress. This approach may be of use for other cities wishing to evaluate the effects of extreme temperature events on the electricity distribution infrastructure.


英文关键词Extreme weather events Heat waves Cold waves Electricity distribution Power outages Logistic regression model
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000402343600040
WOS关键词CLIMATE-CHANGE ; HEAT-ISLAND ; DEMAND ; MANAGEMENT ; IMPACT ; STATE ; RISK
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18720
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Comis Nacl Energia Atom, Gerencia Quim, Av Gral Paz 1499,B1650KNA, San Martin, Buenos Aires, Argentina;
2.Univ Belgrano, Zabala 1837, Buenos Aires, DF, Argentina;
3.Univ Nacl San Martin, Inst Invest & Ingn Ambiental, Campus Miguelete,25 Mayo & Francia, RA-1650 San Martin, Buenos Aires, Argentina
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Santagata, Daniela M.,Castesana, Paula,Rossler, Cristina E.,et al. Extreme temperature events affecting the electricity distribution system of the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires (1971-2013)[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,106.
APA Santagata, Daniela M.,Castesana, Paula,Rossler, Cristina E.,&Gomez, Dario R..(2017).Extreme temperature events affecting the electricity distribution system of the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires (1971-2013).ENERGY POLICY,106.
MLA Santagata, Daniela M.,et al."Extreme temperature events affecting the electricity distribution system of the metropolitan area of Buenos Aires (1971-2013)".ENERGY POLICY 106(2017).
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