GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2016.12.059
Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector
Wakiyama, Takako1; Kuramochi, Takeshi2
2017-04-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号103页码:43480
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Japan; Germany
英文摘要

This paper assesses to what extent CO2 emissions from electricity in the residential sector can be further reduced in Japan beyond its post-2020 mitigation target (known as "Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)"). The paper examines the reduction potential of electricity demand and CO2 emissions in the residential sector by conducting a scenario analysis. Electricity consumption scenarios are set up using a time-series regression model, and used to forecast the electricity consumption patterns to 2030. The scenario analysis also includes scenarios that reduce electricity consumption through enhanced energy efficiency and energy saving measures. The obtained results show that Japan can reduce electricity consumption and CO2 emissions in the residential sector in 2030 more than the Japanese post-2020 mitigation target indicates. At the maximum, the electricity consumption could be reduced by 35 TWh, which contributes to 55.4 MtCO(2) of emissions reduction in 2030 compared to 2013 if the voluntarily targeted CO2 intensity of electricity is achieved. The result implies that Japan has the potential to ratchet up post-2020 mitigation targets discussed under the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC).


英文关键词Post-2020 mitigation target Residential sector Electricity consumption CO2 emission from electricity Time-series analysis
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000397356000001
WOS关键词CONSUMPTION
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18724
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Inst Global Environm Strategies, Climate & Energy Area, Green Econ Area, Hayama, Kanagawa 2400115, Japan;
2.NewClimate Inst, Hof 20-26, D-50667 Cologne, Germany
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Wakiyama, Takako,Kuramochi, Takeshi. Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,103:43480.
APA Wakiyama, Takako,&Kuramochi, Takeshi.(2017).Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector.ENERGY POLICY,103,43480.
MLA Wakiyama, Takako,et al."Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector".ENERGY POLICY 103(2017):43480.
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