Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2016.12.059 |
Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector | |
Wakiyama, Takako1; Kuramochi, Takeshi2 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 103页码:43480 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Japan; Germany |
英文摘要 | This paper assesses to what extent CO2 emissions from electricity in the residential sector can be further reduced in Japan beyond its post-2020 mitigation target (known as "Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC)"). The paper examines the reduction potential of electricity demand and CO2 emissions in the residential sector by conducting a scenario analysis. Electricity consumption scenarios are set up using a time-series regression model, and used to forecast the electricity consumption patterns to 2030. The scenario analysis also includes scenarios that reduce electricity consumption through enhanced energy efficiency and energy saving measures. The obtained results show that Japan can reduce electricity consumption and CO2 emissions in the residential sector in 2030 more than the Japanese post-2020 mitigation target indicates. At the maximum, the electricity consumption could be reduced by 35 TWh, which contributes to 55.4 MtCO(2) of emissions reduction in 2030 compared to 2013 if the voluntarily targeted CO2 intensity of electricity is achieved. The result implies that Japan has the potential to ratchet up post-2020 mitigation targets discussed under the Paris Agreement of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). |
英文关键词 | Post-2020 mitigation target Residential sector Electricity consumption CO2 emission from electricity Time-series analysis |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397356000001 |
WOS关键词 | CONSUMPTION |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18724 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Inst Global Environm Strategies, Climate & Energy Area, Green Econ Area, Hayama, Kanagawa 2400115, Japan; 2.NewClimate Inst, Hof 20-26, D-50667 Cologne, Germany |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Wakiyama, Takako,Kuramochi, Takeshi. Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,103:43480. |
APA | Wakiyama, Takako,&Kuramochi, Takeshi.(2017).Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector.ENERGY POLICY,103,43480. |
MLA | Wakiyama, Takako,et al."Scenario analysis of energy saving and CO2 emissions reduction potentials to ratchet up Japanese mitigation target in 2030 in the residential sector".ENERGY POLICY 103(2017):43480. |
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