资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

The precipitation concentration index (PCI) is a powerful indicator for temporal precipitation distribution and is also very useful for the assessment of seasonal precipitation changes. The primary objectives of this study are to investigate and analyse the temporal-spatial variability patterns of annual and seasonal PCI values based on monthly precipitation data. These data were collected from 597 meteorological stations located throughout China, for the time period of 1960-2016, and were used to assess the impacts of geographical parameters (latitude, longitude, and altitude) on the PCI. Additionally, the possible teleconnection with the large-scale circulation pattern was investigated. Our results reveal that the variation trend of annual PCI values has decreased significantly at a rate of -.234/10 year (alpha = .01) in China over the past 57 years. For all studied station records, 434 (72.7%) stations showed decreasing trends of PCI values, and these stations are distributed over large areas in China. On an annual scale, the average PCI value ranged from 11 in Hunan province to 44 in Qinghai province. The precipitation concentration in China can be described as strongly irregular in the western and northern parts of the northwest and in the northern region of the Tibetan Plateau, while it is irregular in the southwest and the north of China, and moderately irregular in some parts of the middle-lower regions of the Yangtze River and southern China. The regularity of the annual precipitation pattern significantly decreased in spring, autumn, and winter from southeastern to northwestern China, and was the most in winter. However, the summer precipitation dispersion and the pattern in the considered period were more regular than those of the other seasons. Furthermore, changes in the PCI appear to be rather complex and possibly related to global atmospheric characteristics as well as geographical factors (latitude, longitude, and altitude). The results presented in this study indicate that the PCI is an essential feature for water resource planning, prediction of risk due to droughts or floods, and the management of natural resources.