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DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0165.1
Weakened Impact of the Developing El Nino on Tropical Indian Ocean Climate Variability under Global Warming
He, Chao1,2; Wang, Yuhao2; Li, Tim2,3,4
2019-11-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2019
卷号32期号:21页码:7265-7279
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Peoples R China; USA
英文摘要

El Nino induces an anomalous easterly wind along the equator and a pair of anomalous anticyclones straddling the equator over the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO) during the autumn of its developing phase. Based on 30 coupled models participating in CMIP5, these atmospheric circulation anomalies over TIO are substantially weakened by about 12%-13% K-1 under global warming scenarios, associated with a weakened zonal gradient of the sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly. The mechanism for the response is investigated based on a hierarchy of model experiments. Based on stand-alone atmospheric model experiments under uniform and patterned mean-state SST warming, the atmospheric circulation anomaly over TIO during the autumn of the developing El Nino is also substantially weakened by about 8% K-1 even if the interannual variability of SST remains exactly unchanged, suggesting that the primary cause resides in the atmosphere rather than the SST anomaly. The tropospheric static stability is robustly enhanced under global warming, and experiments performed by a linear baroclinic model show that a much weaker atmospheric circulation anomaly over TIO is stimulated by an unchanged diabatic heating anomaly under a more stable atmosphere. The weakened atmospheric circulation anomaly due to enhanced static stability weakens the zonal gradient of the SST anomaly within TIO through local air-sea interaction, and it acts to further weaken the atmospheric circulation anomaly. The enhanced static stability of the troposphere is probably the primary cause and the air-sea interaction within TIO is a secondary cause for the weakened impact of the developing El Nino on atmospheric circulation variability over TIO.


英文关键词Climate change Climate variability ENSO
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000487804400004
WOS关键词INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; PACIFIC-OCEAN ; NORTH PACIFIC ; DIPOLE MODE ; ENSO ; MONSOON ; PRECIPITATION ; CIRCULATION ; EVENTS ; FREQUENCY
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/188095
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Jinan Univ, Inst Environm & Climate Res, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China;
2.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China;
3.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA;
4.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
He, Chao,Wang, Yuhao,Li, Tim. Weakened Impact of the Developing El Nino on Tropical Indian Ocean Climate Variability under Global Warming[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(21):7265-7279.
APA He, Chao,Wang, Yuhao,&Li, Tim.(2019).Weakened Impact of the Developing El Nino on Tropical Indian Ocean Climate Variability under Global Warming.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(21),7265-7279.
MLA He, Chao,et al."Weakened Impact of the Developing El Nino on Tropical Indian Ocean Climate Variability under Global Warming".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.21(2019):7265-7279.
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