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DOI | 10.1029/2019GL084566 |
On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific | |
Qian, Y.1,2,3; Morakami, H.2,4,5; Nakano, M.6; Hsu, P-C1; Delworth, T. L.2,3; Kapnick, S. B.2; Ramaswamy, V2,3; Mochizuki, T.6,7; Morioka, Y.6; Doi, T.6; Kataoka, T.6; Nasuno, T.6; Yoshida, K.5 | |
2019-11-03 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2019 |
文章类型 | Article;Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Peoples R China; USA; Japan |
英文摘要 | The 2018 tropical cyclone (TC) season in the North Pacific was very active, with 39 tropical storms including eight typhoons/hurricanes. This activity was successfully predicted up to 5 months in advance by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Forecast-Oriented Low Ocean Resolution (FLOR) global coupled model. In this work, a suite of idealized experiments with three dynamical global models (FLOR, Nonhydrostatic Icosahedral Atmospheric Model, and Meteorological Research Institute Atmospheric General Circulation Model) was used to show that the active 2018 TC season was primarily caused by warming in the subtropical Pacific and secondarily by warming in the tropical Pacific. Furthermore, the potential effect of anthropogenic forcing on the active 2018 TC season was investigated using two of the global models (FLOR and Meteorological Research Institute Atmospheric General Circulation Model). The models projected opposite signs for the changes in TC frequency in the North Pacific by an increase in anthropogenic forcing, thereby highlighting the substantial uncertainty and model dependence in the possible impact of anthropogenic forcing on Pacific TC activity. |
英文关键词 | tropical cyclones North Pacific Pacific Meridional Mode central Pacific El Nino future change extreme events |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000493698300001 |
WOS关键词 | ATLANTIC SST ; MERIDIONAL MODE ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CYCLOGENESIS |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/188214 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Minist Educ, Key Lab Meteorol Disaster, Nanjing, Jiangsu, Peoples R China; 2.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA; 3.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 4.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Boulder, CO 80301 USA; 5.Meteorol Res Inst, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan; 6.Japan Agcy Marine Earth Sci & Technol, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan; 7.Kyushu Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Earth & Planetary Sci, Fukuoka, Fukuoka, Japan |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Qian, Y.,Morakami, H.,Nakano, M.,et al. On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019. |
APA | Qian, Y..,Morakami, H..,Nakano, M..,Hsu, P-C.,Delworth, T. L..,...&Yoshida, K..(2019).On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS. |
MLA | Qian, Y.,et al."On the Mechanisms of the Active 2018 Tropical Cyclone Season in the North Pacific".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS (2019). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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