资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

Monsoon responses to eruptions over the last millennium (LM) are examined in an ensemble of climate simulations as a function of eruption hemisphere. A composite analysis reveals a particularly strong sensitivity of monsoon rainfall in the year following Northern Hemisphere (NH) extratropical eruptions. Additional analysis focusing on the 18th century eruption of Mt. Laki and idealized simulations representing an analogue Southern Hemisphere eruption (SH-Laki) reveal monsoon responses that are approximately symmetric across hemispheres, despite exhibiting asymmetries in other aspects of the climate response. We conclude that 1) latitudinally mirrored eruptions result in approximately symmetric monsoon responses, 2) disproportionate weakening (strengthening) of NH (SH) monsoons by NH eruptions over the LM resulted in part from their relatively high latitudes, and 3) uncertainty in eruption latitude fundamentally limits our ability to accurately simulate associated monsoon and tropical precipitation responses in nature.