Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.06.037 |
Assessment of vulnerability of natural gas supply in Serbia: State and perspective | |
Madzarevic, Aleksandar; Ivezic, Dejan; Zivkovic, Marija; Tanasijevic, Milos; Ivic, Milica | |
2018-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 121页码:415-425 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Serbia |
英文摘要 | Ensuring security of supply for the domestic natural gas market is one of the priorities of Serbian energy sector development. In the natural gas sector, the Republic of Serbia is strongly dependent on Russian gas. Import dependency is almost 80% and gas is imported via a single supply route. In order to evaluate the security of the natural gas supply in Serbia and vulnerability to possible interruptions in international supply chains, three possible scenarios for natural gas infrastructure development and two scenarios of natural gas consumption by 2025, are discussed in this paper. This combination of infrastructure and demand scenarios projects six possible futures for the Serbian natural gas system, assessed by N-1 index. This paper presents a methodology for determining maximal daily consumption for households and district heating (with a probability of once in 20 years) based on degree-days. The possibilities of the Serbian gas system mitigating the consequence of a possible supply cut from Ukraine, for six analysed scenarios are discussed. |
英文关键词 | Natural gas Security of supply Energy scenario (N-1) |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000445983800042 |
WOS关键词 | RUSSIA ; SECURITY ; SECTOR |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18839 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Belgrade, Fac Min & Geol, Djusina 7, Belgrade 11000, Serbia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Madzarevic, Aleksandar,Ivezic, Dejan,Zivkovic, Marija,et al. Assessment of vulnerability of natural gas supply in Serbia: State and perspective[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,121:415-425. |
APA | Madzarevic, Aleksandar,Ivezic, Dejan,Zivkovic, Marija,Tanasijevic, Milos,&Ivic, Milica.(2018).Assessment of vulnerability of natural gas supply in Serbia: State and perspective.ENERGY POLICY,121,415-425. |
MLA | Madzarevic, Aleksandar,et al."Assessment of vulnerability of natural gas supply in Serbia: State and perspective".ENERGY POLICY 121(2018):415-425. |
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