Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.02.037 |
Fuel carbon intensity standards may not mitigate climate change | |
Plevin, Richard J.1; 39;Hare, Michael2 | |
2017-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 105 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | To mitigate the climate change effects of transportation, the US states of California and Oregon, the Canadian province of British Columbia, and the European Union have implemented regulations to reduce the life cycle greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions intensity of transport fuel, commonly referred to as "carbon intensity", or CI. In this article, we unpack the theory and practice of fuel CI standards, examining claims regarding climate change mitigation. We show that these standards do not reliably mitigate climate change because estimates of GHG reductions rely primarily on models that are not designed to estimate changes in emissions and climate impacts. Some regulations incorporate models that estimate a subset of changes in emissions, but the models must project changes in global markets over decades, and there is little agreement about the best model structure or parameter values. Since multiple models and projections may be equally plausible, fuel CI is inevitably subjective and unverifiable. We conclude that regulating or taxing observable emissions would more reliably achieve emission reduction. |
英文关键词 | Life cycle assessment Consequential LCA Low-carbon fuel standard Climate change Modeling |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000400532900009 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE CHANGE ; LIFE-CYCLE ASSESSMENT ; ELECTRIC VEHICLES ; BIOFUELS ; IMPACTS ; POLICY ; EMISSIONS ; UNCERTAINTY ; MARKET ; MODEL |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/18932 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Calif Berkeley, Transportat Sustainabil Res Ctr, 2150 Allston Way,Suite 280, Berkeley, CA 94704 USA; 2.Univ Calif Berkeley, Goldman Sch Publ Policy, 2607 Hearst Ave, Berkeley, CA 94720 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Plevin, Richard J.,39;Hare, Michael. Fuel carbon intensity standards may not mitigate climate change[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,105. |
APA | Plevin, Richard J.,&39;Hare, Michael.(2017).Fuel carbon intensity standards may not mitigate climate change.ENERGY POLICY,105. |
MLA | Plevin, Richard J.,et al."Fuel carbon intensity standards may not mitigate climate change".ENERGY POLICY 105(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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