Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.04.044 |
A multi-criteria and multi-expert decision aid approach to evaluate the future Turkish power plant portfolio | |
Pasaoglu, Guzay1; Garcia, Nicolas Pardo2; Zubi, Ghassan3 | |
2018-08-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 119页码:654-665 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands; Austria; Spain |
英文摘要 | The study presents recent developments in the Turkish power market and introduces an Analytic Hierarchy Process model to evaluate and compare the relative overall attractiveness of power plant options for Turkey. The developed model incorporates technical characteristics, resource availability, socio-economic, environmental, cost, political, legal and organisational aspects, for evaluating and prioritising power plant types (biomass, coal, geothermal, hydro, natural gas, nuclear, petroleum, solar and wind). The study incorporates perspectives of different experts that represent various stakeholders of the Turkish power sector. The study reveals that supply reliability, investment costs and contribution to national economy are perceived as most important factors, whereas waste disposal and decommissioning costs are perceived as least important factors. Considering the overall weights, the most attractive power plant types for the Turkish power market are coal, hydro and natural gas power plants. The study indicates that Turkey should drastically decrease the installed capacity share of traditionally dominant power plants (to 58% from 89% in 2016) and fossil fuel power plants (to 40% from 56% in 2016), and increase the share of renewable power plants (to 52% from 44% in 2016), indigenous resource based power plants (to 67% from 56% in 2016) and nuclear power plants. |
英文关键词 | Analytic hierarchy process Multi criteria decision making Electricity generation Turkish electricity market Power plants Renewable energy |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000439671200060 |
WOS关键词 | ENERGY-SOURCES ; SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT ; ELECTRICITY-GENERATION ; GEOTHERMAL-ENERGY ; PROMETHEE METHOD ; NUCLEAR-POWER ; TURKEY ; PROJECTS ; PRIORITIES ; PROSPECTS |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19017 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Radboud Univ Nijmegen, Inst Management Res, NL-6500 HK Nijmegen, Netherlands; 2.Austrian Inst Technol, Donau City Str 1, A-1220 Vienna, Austria; 3.Univ Zaragoza, Dept Elect Engn, Calle Maria de Luna 3, Zaragoza 50018, Spain |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pasaoglu, Guzay,Garcia, Nicolas Pardo,Zubi, Ghassan. A multi-criteria and multi-expert decision aid approach to evaluate the future Turkish power plant portfolio[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,119:654-665. |
APA | Pasaoglu, Guzay,Garcia, Nicolas Pardo,&Zubi, Ghassan.(2018).A multi-criteria and multi-expert decision aid approach to evaluate the future Turkish power plant portfolio.ENERGY POLICY,119,654-665. |
MLA | Pasaoglu, Guzay,et al."A multi-criteria and multi-expert decision aid approach to evaluate the future Turkish power plant portfolio".ENERGY POLICY 119(2018):654-665. |
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