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DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.02.047 |
Probabilistic evaluation of the long-term power system resource adequacy: The Greek case | |
Simoglou, Christos K.; Bakirtzis, Emmanouil A.; Biskas, Pandelis N.; Bakirtzis, Anastasios G. | |
2018-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY |
ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 117页码:295-306 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Greece |
英文摘要 | This paper deals with the probabilistic evaluation of the long-term resource adequacy of an interconnected power system. An integrated software tool that solves the long-term scheduling problem using a sophisticated unit commitment model is employed, while both traditional capacity and flexibility adequacy concepts are addressed. A novel methodology to assess the flexibility adequacy using the operational power system schedule is presented. Multi-year simulations of the Greek interconnected power system on an hour-by-hour basis for the forthcoming 10-year study horizon (period 2018-2027) under a set of scenarios regarding the future operating conditions have been performed, providing the key operational data for the calculation of all probabilistic indicators. Test results indicate that the existence of all currently available thermal generating units as well as the timely realization of all scheduled construction plans is of utmost importance for the long-term secure and reliable operation of the Greek interconnected power system. In a more generalized framework, the ambitious EU goals regarding decarbonization and increasing RES shares in electricity generation should be accompanied by detailed studies in order to ensure that no resource adequacy problems will arise in the near future due to the massive withdrawal of conventional base-load and, possibly, flexible generating units. |
英文关键词 | Insufficient ramping resource expectation Loss of load expectation Probabilistic analysis Renewable generation Resource adequacy |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000431932600029 |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19022 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Aristotle Univ Thessaloniki, Power Syst Lab, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, GR-54124 Thessaloniki, Greece |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Simoglou, Christos K.,Bakirtzis, Emmanouil A.,Biskas, Pandelis N.,et al. Probabilistic evaluation of the long-term power system resource adequacy: The Greek case[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2018,117:295-306. |
APA | Simoglou, Christos K.,Bakirtzis, Emmanouil A.,Biskas, Pandelis N.,&Bakirtzis, Anastasios G..(2018).Probabilistic evaluation of the long-term power system resource adequacy: The Greek case.ENERGY POLICY,117,295-306. |
MLA | Simoglou, Christos K.,et al."Probabilistic evaluation of the long-term power system resource adequacy: The Greek case".ENERGY POLICY 117(2018):295-306. |
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