Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.019 |
Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany | |
Totschnig, G.1; Hirner, R.1; Mueller, A.1; Kranzl, L.1; Hummel, M.1; Nachtnebel, H. -P.2; Stanzel, P.2; Schicker, I.3; Formayer, H.3 | |
2017-04-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENERGY POLICY
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ISSN | 0301-4215 |
EISSN | 1873-6777 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 103 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Austria |
英文摘要 | The purpose of this paper is to investigate the resilience of possible future electricity and heating systems in regard to climate change and fuel price shocks. The dynamical simulation model HiREPS of the Austrian and German electricity, heating and cooling sectors was used for this analysis. The electricity generation cost and changes in the required secured capacity were used as indicators for the resilience of the energy system. The results show, that the analysed changes in the natural gas price have larger impact on the electricity generation cost than weather variability between different years or climate change. Especially the fossil fuel based scenario showed high sensitivity to the gas price. Analysis of the required secured capacity shows, that in the last quarter of the 21st century the annual maximum residual loads are growing and are dominated by strong cooling demand peaks. Promoting passive cooling options, efficient building designs and options for a controlled down regulation of cooling devices seems to be advisable to avoid installing large thermal power plant backup capacities. The evaluated climate model simulations show only small changes in photovoltaic, wind and hydro power generation for 2051-2080 in Austria and Germany. |
英文关键词 | Electricity Heating Cooling Climate change Resilience Fuel price shocks |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E ; SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000397356000019 |
WOS类目 | Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19218 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Vienna Univ Technol, Inst Energy Syst & Elect Dr, Energy Econ Grp, Gusshausstr 25-29-370-3, A-1040 Vienna, Austria; 2.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Water Management Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, A-1190 Vienna, Austria; 3.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Meteorol, A-1190 Vienna, Austria |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Totschnig, G.,Hirner, R.,Mueller, A.,et al. Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,103. |
APA | Totschnig, G..,Hirner, R..,Mueller, A..,Kranzl, L..,Hummel, M..,...&Formayer, H..(2017).Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany.ENERGY POLICY,103. |
MLA | Totschnig, G.,et al."Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany".ENERGY POLICY 103(2017). |
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