GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1016/j.enpol.2017.01.019
Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany
Totschnig, G.1; Hirner, R.1; Mueller, A.1; Kranzl, L.1; Hummel, M.1; Nachtnebel, H. -P.2; Stanzel, P.2; Schicker, I.3; Formayer, H.3
2017-04-01
发表期刊ENERGY POLICY
ISSN0301-4215
EISSN1873-6777
出版年2017
卷号103
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Austria
英文摘要

The purpose of this paper is to investigate the resilience of possible future electricity and heating systems in regard to climate change and fuel price shocks. The dynamical simulation model HiREPS of the Austrian and German electricity, heating and cooling sectors was used for this analysis. The electricity generation cost and changes in the required secured capacity were used as indicators for the resilience of the energy system. The results show, that the analysed changes in the natural gas price have larger impact on the electricity generation cost than weather variability between different years or climate change. Especially the fossil fuel based scenario showed high sensitivity to the gas price. Analysis of the required secured capacity shows, that in the last quarter of the 21st century the annual maximum residual loads are growing and are dominated by strong cooling demand peaks. Promoting passive cooling options, efficient building designs and options for a controlled down regulation of cooling devices seems to be advisable to avoid installing large thermal power plant backup capacities. The evaluated climate model simulations show only small changes in photovoltaic, wind and hydro power generation for 2051-2080 in Austria and Germany.


英文关键词Electricity Heating Cooling Climate change Resilience Fuel price shocks
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E ; SSCI
WOS记录号WOS:000397356000019
WOS类目Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies
WOS研究方向Business & Economics ; Energy & Fuels ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19218
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Vienna Univ Technol, Inst Energy Syst & Elect Dr, Energy Econ Grp, Gusshausstr 25-29-370-3, A-1040 Vienna, Austria;
2.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Water Management Hydrol & Hydraul Engn, A-1190 Vienna, Austria;
3.Univ Nat Resources & Life Sci, Inst Meteorol, A-1190 Vienna, Austria
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Totschnig, G.,Hirner, R.,Mueller, A.,et al. Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany[J]. ENERGY POLICY,2017,103.
APA Totschnig, G..,Hirner, R..,Mueller, A..,Kranzl, L..,Hummel, M..,...&Formayer, H..(2017).Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany.ENERGY POLICY,103.
MLA Totschnig, G.,et al."Climate change impact and resilience in the electricity sector: The example of Austria and Germany".ENERGY POLICY 103(2017).
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