GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.5194/acp-18-15555-2018
Rapid and reliable assessment of methane impacts on climate
Ocko, Ilissa B.1; Naik, Vaishali2; Paynter, David2
2018-10-30
发表期刊ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS
ISSN1680-7316
EISSN1680-7324
出版年2018
卷号18期号:21页码:15555-15568
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA
英文摘要

It is clear that the most effective way to limit global temperature rise and associated impacts is to reduce human emissions of greenhouse gases, including methane. However, quantification of the climate benefits of mitigation options are complicated by the contrast in the timescales at which short-lived climate pollutants, such as methane, persist in the atmosphere compared to carbon dioxide. Whereas simple metrics fail to capture the differential impacts across all timescales, sophisticated climate models that can address these temporal dynamics are often inaccessible, time-intensive, require special infrastructure, and include high unforced interannual variability that makes it difficult to analyse small changes in forcings. On the other hand, reduced-complexity climate models that use basic knowledge from observations and complex Earth system models offer an ideal compromise in that they provide quick, reliable insights into climate responses, with only limited computational infrastructure needed. They are particularly useful for simulating the response to forcings of small changes in different climate pollutants, due to the absence of internal variability. In this paper, we build on previous evaluations of the freely available and easy-to-run reduced-complexity climate model MAGICC by comparing temperature responses to historical methane emissions to those from a more complex coupled global chemistry-climate model, GFDL-CM3. While we find that the overall forcings and temperature responses are comparable between the two models, the prominent role of unforced variability in CM3 demonstrates how sophisticated models are potentially inappropriate tools for small forcing scenarios. On the other hand, we find that MAGICC can easily and rapidly provide robust data on climate responses to changes in methane emissions with clear signals unfettered by variability. We are therefore able to build confidence in using reduced-complexity climate models such as MAGICC for purposes of understanding the climate implications of methane mitigation.


领域地球科学
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000448701900002
WOS关键词CARBON-CYCLE MODELS ; AIR-QUALITY ; TEMPERATURE VARIABILITY ; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY ; SIMPLER MODEL ; CO-BENEFITS ; EMISSIONS ; AEROSOLS ; OCEAN ; PARAMETERIZATION
WOS类目Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/19497
专题地球科学
作者单位1.Environm Def Fund, Washington, DC 20009 USA;
2.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ocko, Ilissa B.,Naik, Vaishali,Paynter, David. Rapid and reliable assessment of methane impacts on climate[J]. ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,2018,18(21):15555-15568.
APA Ocko, Ilissa B.,Naik, Vaishali,&Paynter, David.(2018).Rapid and reliable assessment of methane impacts on climate.ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS,18(21),15555-15568.
MLA Ocko, Ilissa B.,et al."Rapid and reliable assessment of methane impacts on climate".ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 18.21(2018):15555-15568.
条目包含的文件
条目无相关文件。
个性服务
推荐该条目
保存到收藏夹
查看访问统计
导出为Endnote文件
谷歌学术
谷歌学术中相似的文章
[Ocko, Ilissa B.]的文章
[Naik, Vaishali]的文章
[Paynter, David]的文章
百度学术
百度学术中相似的文章
[Ocko, Ilissa B.]的文章
[Naik, Vaishali]的文章
[Paynter, David]的文章
必应学术
必应学术中相似的文章
[Ocko, Ilissa B.]的文章
[Naik, Vaishali]的文章
[Paynter, David]的文章
相关权益政策
暂无数据
收藏/分享
所有评论 (0)
暂无评论
 

除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。