Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aat7526 |
A continental system for forecasting bird migration | |
Van Doren, Benjamin M.1; Horton, Kyle G.2 | |
2018-09-14 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE
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ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 361期号:6407页码:1115-1117 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | England; USA |
英文摘要 | Billions of animals cross the globe each year during seasonal migrations, but efforts to monitor them are hampered by the unpredictability of their movements. We developed a bird migration forecast system at a continental scale by leveraging 23 years of spring observations to identify associations between atmospheric conditions and bird migration intensity. Our models explained up to 81% of variation in migration intensity across the United States at altitudes of 0 to 3000 meters, and performance remained high in forecasting events 1 to 7 days in advance (62 to 76% of variation was explained). Avian migratory movements across the United States likely exceed 500 million individuals per night during peak passage. Bird migration forecasts will reduce collisions with buildings, airplanes, and wind turbines; inform a variety of monitoring efforts; and engage the public. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000444513300041 |
WOS关键词 | WEATHER ; INTENSITY ; MIGRANTS ; SAFETY ; RADARS ; LIGHT ; WIND |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/199581 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Edward Grey Inst, Oxford OX1 3PS, England; 2.Cornell Univ, Cornell Lab Ornithol, Ithaca, NY 14850 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Van Doren, Benjamin M.,Horton, Kyle G.. A continental system for forecasting bird migration[J]. SCIENCE,2018,361(6407):1115-1117. |
APA | Van Doren, Benjamin M.,&Horton, Kyle G..(2018).A continental system for forecasting bird migration.SCIENCE,361(6407),1115-1117. |
MLA | Van Doren, Benjamin M.,et al."A continental system for forecasting bird migration".SCIENCE 361.6407(2018):1115-1117. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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