GSTDTAP  > 地球科学
DOI10.1126/science.aat7526
A continental system for forecasting bird migration
Van Doren, Benjamin M.1; Horton, Kyle G.2
2018-09-14
发表期刊SCIENCE
ISSN0036-8075
EISSN1095-9203
出版年2018
卷号361期号:6407页码:1115-1117
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England; USA
英文摘要

Billions of animals cross the globe each year during seasonal migrations, but efforts to monitor them are hampered by the unpredictability of their movements. We developed a bird migration forecast system at a continental scale by leveraging 23 years of spring observations to identify associations between atmospheric conditions and bird migration intensity. Our models explained up to 81% of variation in migration intensity across the United States at altitudes of 0 to 3000 meters, and performance remained high in forecasting events 1 to 7 days in advance (62 to 76% of variation was explained). Avian migratory movements across the United States likely exceed 500 million individuals per night during peak passage. Bird migration forecasts will reduce collisions with buildings, airplanes, and wind turbines; inform a variety of monitoring efforts; and engage the public.


领域地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000444513300041
WOS关键词WEATHER ; INTENSITY ; MIGRANTS ; SAFETY ; RADARS ; LIGHT ; WIND
WOS类目Multidisciplinary Sciences
WOS研究方向Science & Technology - Other Topics
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/199581
专题地球科学
资源环境科学
气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Oxford, Dept Zool, Edward Grey Inst, Oxford OX1 3PS, England;
2.Cornell Univ, Cornell Lab Ornithol, Ithaca, NY 14850 USA
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GB/T 7714
Van Doren, Benjamin M.,Horton, Kyle G.. A continental system for forecasting bird migration[J]. SCIENCE,2018,361(6407):1115-1117.
APA Van Doren, Benjamin M.,&Horton, Kyle G..(2018).A continental system for forecasting bird migration.SCIENCE,361(6407),1115-1117.
MLA Van Doren, Benjamin M.,et al."A continental system for forecasting bird migration".SCIENCE 361.6407(2018):1115-1117.
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