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DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0034.1 |
The Northeast Winter Monsoon over the Indian Subcontinent and Southeast Asia: Evolution, Interannual Variability, and Model Simulations | |
Sengupta, Agniv; Nigam, Sumant | |
2019 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 32期号:1页码:231-249 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The northeast monsoon (NEM) brings the bulk of annual rainfall to southeastern peninsular India, Sri Lanka, and the neighboring Southeast Asian countries. This October-December monsoon is referred to as the winter monsoon in this region. In contrast, the southwest summer monsoon brings bountiful rainfall to the Indo-Gangetic Plain. The winter monsoon region is objectively demarcated from analysis of the timing of peak monthly rainfall. Because of the region's complex terrain, in situ precipitation datasets are assessed using high-spatiotemporal-resolution Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) rainfall estimates, prior to their use in monsoon evolution, variability, and trend analyses. The Global Precipitation Climatology Center's in situ analysis showed the least bias from TRMM.El Nino-Southern Oscillation's (ENSO) impact on NEM rainfall is shown to be significant, leading to stronger NEM rainfall over southeastern peninsular India and Sri Lanka but diminished rainfall over Thailand, Vietnam, and the Philippines. The impact varies subseasonally, being weak in October and strong in November. The positive anomalies over peninsular India are generated by anomalous anticyclonic flow centered over the Bay of Bengal, which is forced by an El Nino-related reduction in deep convection over the Maritime Continent.The historical twentieth-century climate simulations informing the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Fifth Assessment (IPCC-AR5) show varied deficiencies in the NEM rainfall distribution and a markedly weaker (and often unrealistic) ENSO-NEM rainfall relationship. |
英文关键词 | ENSO Monsoons Rainfall Regression analysis Model evaluation performance Trends |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453367100002 |
WOS关键词 | SUMMER MONSOON ; SEASONAL MARCH ; RAINFALL ; CMIP5 ; ENSO ; PACIFIC ; OSCILLATION ; ANTICYCLONE ; REANALYSES ; PROJECTION |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20025 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Univ Maryland, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, College Pk, MD 20742 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Sengupta, Agniv,Nigam, Sumant. The Northeast Winter Monsoon over the Indian Subcontinent and Southeast Asia: Evolution, Interannual Variability, and Model Simulations[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2019,32(1):231-249. |
APA | Sengupta, Agniv,&Nigam, Sumant.(2019).The Northeast Winter Monsoon over the Indian Subcontinent and Southeast Asia: Evolution, Interannual Variability, and Model Simulations.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,32(1),231-249. |
MLA | Sengupta, Agniv,et al."The Northeast Winter Monsoon over the Indian Subcontinent and Southeast Asia: Evolution, Interannual Variability, and Model Simulations".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 32.1(2019):231-249. |
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