Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1126/science.aat7850 |
Cascading regime shifts within and across scales | |
Rocha, Juan C.1,2; Peterson, Garry1; Bodin, Orjan1; Levin, Simon1,2,3,4 | |
2018-12-21 | |
发表期刊 | SCIENCE
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ISSN | 0036-8075 |
EISSN | 1095-9203 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 362期号:6421页码:1379-+ |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden; USA |
英文摘要 | Regime shifts are large, abrupt, and persistent critical transitions in the function and structure of ecosystems. Yet, it is unknown how these transitions will interact, whether the occurrence of one will increase the likelihood of another or simply correlate at distant places. We explored two types of cascading effects: Domino effects create one-way dependencies, whereas hidden feedbacks produce two-way interactions. We compare them with the control case of driver sharing, which can induce correlations. Using 30 regime shifts described as networks, we show that 45% of regime shift pairwise combinations present at least one plausible structural interdependence. The likelihood of cascading effects depends on cross-scale interactions but differs for each type. Management of regime shifts should account for potential connections. |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453845000053 |
WOS关键词 | DEAD ZONES ; MODELS ; CONSEQUENCES ; RESILIENCE ; ECOSYSTEMS ; VEGETATION ; DYNAMICS ; DRIVEN ; FOREST |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/200372 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Stockholm Univ, Stockholm Resilience Ctr, Kraftriket 2B, S-1001 Stockholm, Sweden; 2.Swedish Royal Acad Sci, Beijer Inst, Lilla Frescativagen 4A, S-10405 Stockholm, Sweden; 3.Princeton Univ, Dept Ecol & Evolutionary Biol, 106A Guyot Hall, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 4.Resources Future Inc, Washington, DC 20030 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rocha, Juan C.,Peterson, Garry,Bodin, Orjan,et al. Cascading regime shifts within and across scales[J]. SCIENCE,2018,362(6421):1379-+. |
APA | Rocha, Juan C.,Peterson, Garry,Bodin, Orjan,&Levin, Simon.(2018).Cascading regime shifts within and across scales.SCIENCE,362(6421),1379-+. |
MLA | Rocha, Juan C.,et al."Cascading regime shifts within and across scales".SCIENCE 362.6421(2018):1379-+. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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