Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0711.1 |
SynthETC: A Statistical Model for Severe Winter Storm Hazard on Eastern North America | |
Hall, Timothy1; Booth, James F.2 | |
2017-07-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
![]() |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:14 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The authors develop, evaluate, and apply SynthETC, a statistical-stochastic model of winter extratropical cyclones (ETCs) over eastern North America. SynthETC simulates the life cycle of ETCs from formation to termination, and it can be used to estimate the probability of extreme ETC events beyond the historical record. Two modes of climate variability are used as independent covariates: El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Nino-3.4 index and the monthly North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). SynthETC is used to estimate the annual occurrence rate over sites in eastern North America of intense ETC passage in different ENSO and NAO states. Positive NAO is associated with increased rates over the North Atlantic, while negative NAO is associated with decreased rates over the North Atlantic and increased rates over northern Quebec. Positive ENSO is associated with decreased rates over the North Atlantic, Ontario, and the Canadian maritime, while negative ENSO is associated with increased rates over those regions, as well as the Great Lakes region. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404018600011 |
WOS关键词 | TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS ; EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONES ; HURRICANE RISK ; CLIMATOLOGY ; COAST ; PREDICTABILITY ; PERSPECTIVES ; VARIABILITY ; SIMULATION ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20057 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.NASA, Goddard Inst Space Studies, New York, NY 10025 USA; 2.CUNY City Coll, New York, NY 10031 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hall, Timothy,Booth, James F.. SynthETC: A Statistical Model for Severe Winter Storm Hazard on Eastern North America[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(14). |
APA | Hall, Timothy,&Booth, James F..(2017).SynthETC: A Statistical Model for Severe Winter Storm Hazard on Eastern North America.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(14). |
MLA | Hall, Timothy,et al."SynthETC: A Statistical Model for Severe Winter Storm Hazard on Eastern North America".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.14(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论