GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0767.1
Investigating the Impact of CO2 on Low-Frequency Variability of the AMOC in HadCM3
Armstrong, Edward1; Valdes, Paul1; House, Jo1; Singarayer, Joy2,3
2017-10-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2017
卷号30期号:19
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家England
英文摘要

This study investigates the impact of CO2 on the amplitude, frequency, and mechanisms of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability in millennial simulations of the HadCM3 coupled climate model. Multichannel singular spectrum analysis (MSSA) and empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) are applied to the AMOC at four quasi-equilibrium CO2 forcings. The amount of variance explained by the first and second eigenmodes appears to be small (i.e., 11.19%); however, the results indicate that both AMOC strength and variability weaken at higher CO2 concentrations. This accompanies an apparent shift from a predominant 100-125-yr cycle at 350 ppm to 160 yr at 1400 ppm. Changes in amplitude are shown to feed back onto the atmosphere. Variability may be linked to salinity-driven density changes in the Greenland-Iceland-Norwegian Seas, fueled by advection of anomalies predominantly from the Arctic and Caribbean regions. A positive density anomaly accompanies a decrease in stratification and an increase in convection and Ekman pumping, generating a strong phase of the AMOC(and vice versa). Arctic anomalies may be generated via an internal ocean mode that may be key in driving variability and are shown to weaken at higher CO2, possibly driving the overall reduction in amplitude. Tropical anomalies may play a secondary role in modulating variability and are thought to be more influential at higher CO2, possibly due to an increased residence time in the subtropical gyre and/or increased surface runoff driven by simulated dieback of the Amazon rain forest. These results indicate that CO2 may not only weaken AMOC strength but also alter the mechanisms that drive variability, both of which have implications for climate change on multicentury time scales.


领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000411436700014
WOS关键词MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION ; SINGULAR-SPECTRUM ANALYSIS ; ATLANTIC THERMOHALINE CIRCULATION ; MULTIDECADAL VARIABILITY ; INTERDECADAL VARIABILITY ; CENTENNIAL VARIABILITY ; COUPLED MODEL ; CLIMATE ; ATMOSPHERE ; SEA
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20499
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Univ Bristol, Sch Geog Sci, Bristol, Avon, England;
2.Univ Reading, Ctr Climate Change, Reading, Berks, England;
3.Univ Reading, Dept Meteorol, Reading, Berks, England
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Armstrong, Edward,Valdes, Paul,House, Jo,et al. Investigating the Impact of CO2 on Low-Frequency Variability of the AMOC in HadCM3[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(19).
APA Armstrong, Edward,Valdes, Paul,House, Jo,&Singarayer, Joy.(2017).Investigating the Impact of CO2 on Low-Frequency Variability of the AMOC in HadCM3.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(19).
MLA Armstrong, Edward,et al."Investigating the Impact of CO2 on Low-Frequency Variability of the AMOC in HadCM3".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.19(2017).
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