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DOI | 10.1073/pnas.1808979115 |
Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century | |
Altman, Jan1,2; Ukhvatkina, Olga N.3; Omelko, Alexander M.3; Macek, Martin1; Plener, Tomas1; Pejcha, Vit1; Cerny, Tomas4; Petrik, Petr1; Srutek, Miroslav5; Song, Jong-Suk6; Zhmerenetsky, Alexander A.3; Vozmishcheva, Anna S.7; Krestov, Pavel, V7; Petrenko, Tatyana Y.3; Treydte, Kerstin2; Dolezal, Jiri1,5 | |
2018-11-06 | |
发表期刊 | PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA
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ISSN | 0027-8424 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 115期号:45页码:11543-11548 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Czech Republic; Switzerland; Russia; South Korea |
英文摘要 | Determination of long-term tropical cyclone (TC) variability is of enormous importance to society; however, changes in TC activity are poorly understood owing to discrepancies among various datasets and limited span of instrumental records. While the increasing intensity and frequency of TCs have been previously documented on a long-term scale using various proxy records, determination of their poleward migration has been based mostly on short-term instrumental data. Here we present a unique treering-based approach for determination of long-term variability in TC activity via forest disturbance rates in northeast Asia (33-45 degrees N). Our results indicate significant long-term changes in TC activity, with increased rates of disturbances in the northern latitudes over the past century. The disturbance frequency was stable over time in the southern latitudes, however. Our findings of increasing disturbance frequency in the areas formerly situated at the edge of TC activity provide evidence supporting the broad relevance of poleward migration of TCs. Our results significantly enhance our understanding of the effects of climate change on TCs and emphasize the need for determination of long-term variation of past TC activity to improve future TC projections. |
英文关键词 | North Pacific tropical cyclones natural hazard poleward migration dendrochronology |
领域 | 地球科学 ; 气候变化 ; 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000449459000067 |
WOS关键词 | WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LANDFALLING TYPHOONS ; DISTURBANCE HISTORY ; TEMPERATE FORESTS ; MAXIMUM INTENSITY ; DAMAGE ; JAPAN ; ECOSYSTEMS ; LOCATION |
WOS类目 | Multidisciplinary Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics |
URL | 查看原文 |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/205009 |
专题 | 地球科学 资源环境科学 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Czech Acad Sci, Inst Bot, Pruhonice 25243, Czech Republic; 2.Swiss Fed Inst Forest Snow & Landscape Res WSL, Res Unit Forest Dynam, CH-8903 Birmensdorf, Switzerland; 3.Russian Acad Sci, Far Eastern Branch, Fed Sci Ctr East Asia Terr Biodivers, Vladivostok 690022, Russia; 4.Czech Univ Life Sci, Fac Forestry & Wood Sci, Dept Forest Ecol, Prague 16521 6, Czech Republic; 5.Univ South Bohemia, Fac Sci, Ceske Budejovice 37005, Czech Republic; 6.Andong Natl Univ, Coll Nat Sci, Dept Biol Sci, Andong 760749, Gyeongbuk, South Korea; 7.Russian Acad Sci, Inst Far East Branch, Bot Garden, Vladivostok 690024, Russia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Altman, Jan,Ukhvatkina, Olga N.,Omelko, Alexander M.,et al. Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century[J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,2018,115(45):11543-11548. |
APA | Altman, Jan.,Ukhvatkina, Olga N..,Omelko, Alexander M..,Macek, Martin.,Plener, Tomas.,...&Dolezal, Jiri.(2018).Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century.PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA,115(45),11543-11548. |
MLA | Altman, Jan,et al."Poleward migration of the destructive effects of tropical cyclones during the 20th century".PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 115.45(2018):11543-11548. |
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