GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0495.1
The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent
Smith, Karen L.1,5; Polvani, Lorenzo M.2,3; Tremblay, L. Bruno4
2018-09-01
发表期刊JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
ISSN0894-8755
EISSN1520-0442
出版年2018
卷号31期号:18页码:7169-7183
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家USA; Canada
英文摘要

Given the rapidly changing Arctic climate, there is an urgent need for improved seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice. Yet, Arctic sea ice prediction is inherently complex. Among other factors, wintertime atmospheric circulation has been shown to be predictive of summertime Arctic sea ice extent. Specifically, many studies have shown that the interannual variability of summertime Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) is anticorrelated with the leading mode of extratropical atmospheric variability, the Arctic Oscillation (AO), in the preceding winter. Given this relationship, the potential predictive role of stratospheric circulation extremes and stratosphere-troposphere coupling in linking the AO and Arctic SIE variability is examined. It is shown that extremes in the stratospheric circulation during the winter season, namely, stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) and strong polar vortex (SPV) events, are associated with significant anomalies in sea ice concentration in the Barents Sea in spring and along the Eurasian coastline in summer in both observations and a fully coupled, stratosphere-resolving general circulation model. Consistent with previous work on the AO, it is shown that SSWs, which are followed by the negative phase of the AO at the surface, result in sea ice growth, whereas SPVs, which are followed by the positive phase of the AO at the surface, result in sea ice loss, although the mechanisms in the Barents Sea and along the Eurasian coastline are different. The analysis suggests that the presence or absence of stratospheric circulation extremes in winter may play a nontrivial role in determining total September Arctic SIE when combined with other factors.


英文关键词Arctic Sea ice Arctic Oscillation Stratosphere-troposphere coupling Interannual variability
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000440402800001
WOS关键词ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; THICKNESS DISTRIBUTION ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; SUDDEN WARMINGS ; CMIP5 MODELS ; VARIABILITY ; OSCILLATION ; PREDICTABILITY ; CLIMATOLOGY ; SIMULATIONS
WOS类目Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS研究方向Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
引用统计
文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20521
专题气候变化
作者单位1.Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA;
2.Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA;
3.Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA;
4.McGill Univ, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Montreal, PQ, Canada;
5.Univ Toronto Scarborough, Dept Phys & Environm Sci, Toronto, ON, Canada
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Smith, Karen L.,Polvani, Lorenzo M.,Tremblay, L. Bruno. The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(18):7169-7183.
APA Smith, Karen L.,Polvani, Lorenzo M.,&Tremblay, L. Bruno.(2018).The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(18),7169-7183.
MLA Smith, Karen L.,et al."The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.18(2018):7169-7183.
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