Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0495.1 |
The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent | |
Smith, Karen L.1,5; Polvani, Lorenzo M.2,3; Tremblay, L. Bruno4 | |
2018-09-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
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ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 31期号:18页码:7169-7183 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; Canada |
英文摘要 | Given the rapidly changing Arctic climate, there is an urgent need for improved seasonal predictions of Arctic sea ice. Yet, Arctic sea ice prediction is inherently complex. Among other factors, wintertime atmospheric circulation has been shown to be predictive of summertime Arctic sea ice extent. Specifically, many studies have shown that the interannual variability of summertime Arctic sea ice extent (SIE) is anticorrelated with the leading mode of extratropical atmospheric variability, the Arctic Oscillation (AO), in the preceding winter. Given this relationship, the potential predictive role of stratospheric circulation extremes and stratosphere-troposphere coupling in linking the AO and Arctic SIE variability is examined. It is shown that extremes in the stratospheric circulation during the winter season, namely, stratospheric sudden warming (SSW) and strong polar vortex (SPV) events, are associated with significant anomalies in sea ice concentration in the Barents Sea in spring and along the Eurasian coastline in summer in both observations and a fully coupled, stratosphere-resolving general circulation model. Consistent with previous work on the AO, it is shown that SSWs, which are followed by the negative phase of the AO at the surface, result in sea ice growth, whereas SPVs, which are followed by the positive phase of the AO at the surface, result in sea ice loss, although the mechanisms in the Barents Sea and along the Eurasian coastline are different. The analysis suggests that the presence or absence of stratospheric circulation extremes in winter may play a nontrivial role in determining total September Arctic SIE when combined with other factors. |
英文关键词 | Arctic Sea ice Arctic Oscillation Stratosphere-troposphere coupling Interannual variability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000440402800001 |
WOS关键词 | ATMOSPHERIC CIRCULATION ; THICKNESS DISTRIBUTION ; NORTHERN-HEMISPHERE ; SUDDEN WARMINGS ; CMIP5 MODELS ; VARIABILITY ; OSCILLATION ; PREDICTABILITY ; CLIMATOLOGY ; SIMULATIONS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20521 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY 10964 USA; 2.Columbia Univ, Dept Appl Phys & Appl Math, New York, NY USA; 3.Columbia Univ, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, New York, NY USA; 4.McGill Univ, Dept Atmospher & Ocean Sci, Montreal, PQ, Canada; 5.Univ Toronto Scarborough, Dept Phys & Environm Sci, Toronto, ON, Canada |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Smith, Karen L.,Polvani, Lorenzo M.,Tremblay, L. Bruno. The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(18):7169-7183. |
APA | Smith, Karen L.,Polvani, Lorenzo M.,&Tremblay, L. Bruno.(2018).The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(18),7169-7183. |
MLA | Smith, Karen L.,et al."The Impact of Stratospheric Circulation Extremes on Minimum Arctic Sea Ice Extent".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.18(2018):7169-7183. |
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