Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0475.1 |
Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere | |
Jia, Liwei1,2,6,7; Yang, Xiaosong2,3; Vecchi, Gabriel2; Gudgel, Richard2; Delworth, Thomas2; Fueglistaler, Stephan4; Lin, Pu4; Scaife, Adam A.5; Underwood, Seth2; Lin, Shian-Jiann2 | |
2017-06-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
![]() |
ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 30期号:12 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA; England |
英文摘要 | This study explores the role of the stratosphere as a source of seasonal predictability of surface climate over Northern Hemisphere extratropics both in the observations and climate model predictions. A suite of numerical experiments, including climate simulations and retrospective forecasts, are set up to isolate the role of the stratosphere in seasonal predictive skill of extratropical near-surface land temperature. It is shown that most of the lead-0-month spring predictive skill of land temperature over extratropics, particularly over northern Eurasia, stems from stratospheric initialization. It is further revealed that this predictive skill of extratropical land temperature arises from skillful prediction of the Arctic Oscillation (AO). The dynamical connection between the stratosphere and troposphere is also demonstrated by the significant correlation between the stratospheric polar vortex and sea level pressure anomalies, as well as the migration of the stratospheric zonal wind anomalies to the lower troposphere. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000402379600008 |
WOS关键词 | ATMOSPHERIC RESPONSE ; ARCTIC OSCILLATION ; TROPICAL ATLANTIC ; CLIMATE ; WEATHER ; WINTER ; PREDICTABILITY ; PRECIPITATION ; VARIABILITY ; FORECASTS |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20649 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 2.NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA; 3.Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Princeton, NJ USA; 4.Princeton Univ, Atmospher & Ocean Sci Program, Princeton, NJ 08544 USA; 5.Met Off, Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England; 6.NOAA, Climate Predict Ctr, NWS, NCEP, College Pk, MD 20740 USA; 7.Innovim LLC, Greenbelt, MD 20770 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jia, Liwei,Yang, Xiaosong,Vecchi, Gabriel,et al. Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2017,30(12). |
APA | Jia, Liwei.,Yang, Xiaosong.,Vecchi, Gabriel.,Gudgel, Richard.,Delworth, Thomas.,...&Lin, Shian-Jiann.(2017).Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,30(12). |
MLA | Jia, Liwei,et al."Seasonal Prediction Skill of Northern Extratropical Surface Temperature Driven by the Stratosphere".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 30.12(2017). |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论