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DOI | 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0168.1 |
Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast | |
Leroux, Stephanie1,2; Penduff, Thierry1; Bessieres, Laurent3; Molines, Jean-Marc1; Brankart, Jean-Michel1; Serazin, Guillaume4; Barnier, Bernard1; Terray, Laurent3 | |
2018-02-01 | |
发表期刊 | JOURNAL OF CLIMATE
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ISSN | 0894-8755 |
EISSN | 1520-0442 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 31期号:3页码:1183-1203 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | France |
英文摘要 | This study investigates the origin and features of interannual-decadal Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) variability from several ocean simulations, including a large (50 member) ensemble of global, eddy-permitting (1/4 degrees) ocean-sea ice hindcasts. After an initial stochastic perturbation, each member is driven by the same realistic atmospheric forcing over 1960-2015. The magnitude, spatiotemporal scales, and patterns of both the atmospherically forced and intrinsic-chaotic interannual AMOC variability are then characterized from the ensemble mean and ensemble spread, respectively. The analysis of the ensemble-mean variability shows that the AMOC fluctuations north of 40 degrees N are largely driven by the atmospheric variability, which forces meridionally coherent fluctuations reaching decadal time scales. The amplitude of the intrinsic interannual AMOC variability never exceeds the atmospherically forced contribution in the Atlantic basin, but it reaches up to 100% of the latter around 35 degrees S and 60% in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. The intrinsic AMOC variability exhibits a large-scale meridional coherence, especially south of 25 degrees N. An EOF analysis over the basin shows two large-scale leading modes that together explain 60% of the interannual intrinsic variability. The first mode is likely excited by intrinsic oceanic processes at the southern end of the basin and affects latitudes up to 40 degrees N; the second mode is mostly restricted to, and excited within, the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. These features of the intrinsic, chaotic variability (intensity, patterns, and random phase) are barely sensitive to the atmospheric evolution, and they strongly resemble the "pure intrinsic'' interannual AMOC variability that emerges in climatological simulations under repeated seasonal-cycle forcing. These results raise questions about the attribution of observed and simulated AMOC signals and about the possible impact of intrinsic signals on the atmosphere. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000425166100015 |
WOS关键词 | MERIDIONAL OVERTURNING CIRCULATION ; LOW-FREQUENCY VARIABILITY ; INTERANNUAL VARIABILITY ; DECADAL VARIABILITY ; ATLANTIC ; MODEL ; RAINFALL |
WOS类目 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/20770 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Grenoble Alpes, CNRS, IRD, Grenoble INP,IGE, Grenoble, France; 2.Ocean Next, Grenoble, France; 3.CERFACS, CNRS, CECI, UMR 5318, Toulouse, France; 4.Univ Toulouse, CNRS, UPS, LEGOS,IRD,CNES, Toulouse, France |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Leroux, Stephanie,Penduff, Thierry,Bessieres, Laurent,et al. Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast[J]. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,2018,31(3):1183-1203. |
APA | Leroux, Stephanie.,Penduff, Thierry.,Bessieres, Laurent.,Molines, Jean-Marc.,Brankart, Jean-Michel.,...&Terray, Laurent.(2018).Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast.JOURNAL OF CLIMATE,31(3),1183-1203. |
MLA | Leroux, Stephanie,et al."Intrinsic and Atmospherically Forced Variability of the AMOC: Insights from a Large-Ensemble Ocean Hindcast".JOURNAL OF CLIMATE 31.3(2018):1183-1203. |
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