Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1038/s41893-019-0418-8 |
Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food-energy-water nexus | |
Van Vuuren, Detlef P.1,2; Bijl, David L.1; Bogaart, Patrick1,3; Stehfest, Elke2; Biemans, Hester4; Dekker, Stefan C.1; Doelman, Jonathan C.2; Gernaat, David E. H. J.1,2; Harmsen, Mathijs1,2 | |
2019-12-01 | |
发表期刊 | NATURE SUSTAINABILITY |
ISSN | 2398-9629 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 2期号:12页码:1132-1141 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Netherlands |
英文摘要 | The literature emphasizes the important relationships between the consumption and production of food, energy and water, and environmental challenges such as climate change and loss of biodiversity. New tools are needed to analyse the future dynamics of this nexus. Here, we introduce a set of model-based scenarios and associated Sankey diagrams that enable analysis of the relevant relationships and dynamics, as well as the options to formulate response strategies. The scenarios show that if no new policies are adopted, food production and energy generation could further increase by around 60%, and water consumption by around 20% over the period 2015-2050, leading to further degradation of resources and increasing environmental pressure. Response strategies in terms of climate policies, higher agricultural yields, dietary change and reduction of food waste are analysed to reveal how they may contribute to reversing these trends, and possibly even lead to a reduction of land use in the future. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SSCI |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000502144200012 |
WOS关键词 | LAND-USE ; SANKEY DIAGRAM ; CLIMATE-CHANGE ; MODEL ; PROJECTIONS ; AGRICULTURE ; MITIGATION ; EMISSIONS ; IMPACTS ; LOSSES |
WOS类目 | Green & Sustainable Science & Technology ; Environmental Sciences ; Environmental Studies |
WOS研究方向 | Science & Technology - Other Topics ; Environmental Sciences & Ecology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/223827 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ Utrecht, Copernicus Inst Sustainable Dev, Utrecht, Netherlands; 2.PBL Netherlands Environm Assessment Agcy, The Hague, Netherlands; 3.Stat Netherlands, The Hague, Netherlands; 4.Wageningen Univ & Res, Wageningen, Netherlands |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Van Vuuren, Detlef P.,Bijl, David L.,Bogaart, Patrick,et al. Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food-energy-water nexus[J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2019,2(12):1132-1141. |
APA | Van Vuuren, Detlef P..,Bijl, David L..,Bogaart, Patrick.,Stehfest, Elke.,Biemans, Hester.,...&Harmsen, Mathijs.(2019).Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food-energy-water nexus.NATURE SUSTAINABILITY,2(12),1132-1141. |
MLA | Van Vuuren, Detlef P.,et al."Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food-energy-water nexus".NATURE SUSTAINABILITY 2.12(2019):1132-1141. |
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