Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02560-0 |
The impact of climate change on migration: a synthesis of recent empirical insights | |
Kaczan, David J.1; Orgill-Meyer, Jennifer2,3 | |
2019-11-07 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2019 |
文章类型 | Review;Early Access |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia; USA |
英文摘要 | Concern about the human impact of climate change has led to predictions of how people living in areas vulnerable to drought, flood, and temperature changes will respond to such events. Early studies warned that climate change would lead to dramatic increases in human migration as households became unable to adapt to the impacts of climate change. More recently, empirical studies focused on observed climate events and trends have documented how migration flows vary as a function of both the severity of the event and the ability of the household to migrate, among other factors. In this paper, we provide a systematic review of this literature, based on a conceptual framework in which climate shocks (e.g., drought, floods, or temperature extremes) affect (a) household capability to migrate, by depleting household resources necessary for migration, and (b) household vulnerability in staying, by increasing the risk that a household falls (further) into poverty. In combination, these factors help explain four key patterns seen in the empirical literature: (1) climate-induced migration is not necessarily more prevalent among poorer households; (2) climate-induced migration tends to be more prevalent for long-distance domestic moves than local or international moves; (3) slow-onset climate changes (such as droughts) are more likely to induce increased migration than rapid-onset changes (such as floods); and (4) the severity of climate shocks impacts migration in a nonlinear fashion, with impacts influenced by whether the capability or vulnerability channel dominates. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000495345900001 |
WOS关键词 | ENVIRONMENTAL REFUGEES ; POPULATION MOBILITY ; OUT-MIGRATION ; VARIABILITY ; RAINFALL ; CONSUMPTION ; ADAPTATION ; DROUGHT ; VULNERABILITY ; POLITICS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224354 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | 1.Univ South Australia, Sch Commerce, 37-44 North Terrace, Adelaide, SA 5000, Australia; 2.Franklin & Marshall Coll, Dept Govt, 415 Harrisburg Ave, Lancaster, PA 17603 USA; 3.Franklin & Marshall Coll, Publ Hlth Program, 415 Harrisburg Ave, Lancaster, PA 17603 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Kaczan, David J.,Orgill-Meyer, Jennifer. The impact of climate change on migration: a synthesis of recent empirical insights[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019. |
APA | Kaczan, David J.,&Orgill-Meyer, Jennifer.(2019).The impact of climate change on migration: a synthesis of recent empirical insights.CLIMATIC CHANGE. |
MLA | Kaczan, David J.,et al."The impact of climate change on migration: a synthesis of recent empirical insights".CLIMATIC CHANGE (2019). |
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