Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1007/s10584-019-02575-7 |
Coastal Louisiana landscape and storm surge evolution: 1850-2110 | |
Siverd, Christopher G.1; Hagen, Scott C.1,2,3,4; Bilskie, Matthew V.2; Braud, DeWitt H.4; Peele, R. Hampton5; Foster-Martinez, Madeline R.2; Twilley, Robert R.4,6 | |
2019-11-27 | |
发表期刊 | CLIMATIC CHANGE
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ISSN | 0165-0009 |
EISSN | 1573-1480 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 157期号:3-4页码:445-468 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Storm surge models are constructed to represent the Louisiana coastal landscape circa 1850, 1890, 1930, 1970, 1990, 2010, 2030, 2050, 2070, 2090, and 2110. Historical maps are utilized to develop models with past landscapes while a continuation of recent landscape trends is assumed for future models. The same suite of meteorological wind and pressure fields is simulated with each storm surge model. Simulation results for 1850 and 1890 demonstrate minimal change in storm surge characteristics along the Louisiana coast. A mean maximum storm surge height increase of 0.26 m from 1930 to 2010 is quantified within the sediment-abundant Atchafalaya-Vermilion coastal basin, while increases of 0.34 m and 0.41 m are quantified within sediment-starved Terrebonne and Barataria, respectively. Future mean maximum storm surge heights increase across these three coastal basins by 0.67 m, 0.55 m, and 0.75 m, indicating negligible differences from 2010 to 2110, regardless of sediment availability. Results indicate that past changes in the Louisiana coastal landscape and storm surge were a consequence of local land and river management decisions while future changes are dominated by relative (subsidence and eustatic) sea level rise. Projecting landscape and surge changes beyond 50 years could aide policy makers as they work to enhance resilience across coastal Louisiana. Similar analyses could be conducted for other deltas across the world, such as the Ganges, that are experiencing challenges comparable to those of the Mississippi River Delta. |
英文关键词 | Wetland loss Land water ratio ADCIRC Coastal flood risk Hydrologic unit code Storm surge |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000499011300002 |
WOS关键词 | SEA-LEVEL RISE ; MISSISSIPPI DELTA ; HURRICANE-KATRINA ; UNSTRUCTURED-MESH ; MODEL ; WAVES ; RESTORATION ; DYNAMICS ; WETLANDS ; IMPACTS |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/224363 |
专题 | 环境与发展全球科技态势 |
作者单位 | 1.Louisiana State Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, 3255 Patrick F Taylor, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 2.Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Coastal Resiliency, 124C Sea Grant Bldg, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 3.Louisiana State Univ, Ctr Computat & Technol, 340 E Parker Blvd, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 4.Louisiana State Univ, Coastal Studies Inst, Howe Russell Geosci Complex,Room 331, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 5.Louisiana State Univ, Louisiana Geol Survey, 3079 Energy,Coastal & Environm Bldg, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA; 6.Louisiana State Univ, Coll Coast & Environm, 1002-Q Energy,Coastal & Environm Bldg, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Siverd, Christopher G.,Hagen, Scott C.,Bilskie, Matthew V.,et al. Coastal Louisiana landscape and storm surge evolution: 1850-2110[J]. CLIMATIC CHANGE,2019,157(3-4):445-468. |
APA | Siverd, Christopher G..,Hagen, Scott C..,Bilskie, Matthew V..,Braud, DeWitt H..,Peele, R. Hampton.,...&Twilley, Robert R..(2019).Coastal Louisiana landscape and storm surge evolution: 1850-2110.CLIMATIC CHANGE,157(3-4),445-468. |
MLA | Siverd, Christopher G.,et al."Coastal Louisiana landscape and storm surge evolution: 1850-2110".CLIMATIC CHANGE 157.3-4(2019):445-468. |
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