Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
| Lebanon on the brink | |
| Gade, Tine | |
| 2016 | |
| 出版年 | 2016 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 国家 | 挪威 |
| 领域 | 气候变化 |
| 英文摘要 | Gravely affected by the Syrian crisis, Lebanon has managed to remain relatively stable against all odds – despite the influx of some 1.5 million Syrian refugees and internal political crisis involving actors who support opposing Syrian factions. Lebanon’s resilience can be explained by the high opportunity cost of state breakdown for domestic, regional and international political actors. Moreover, international economic assistance, diaspora remittances and informal networks established by refugees help to prevent outright economic breakdown. Yet, stability remains extremely precarious. Important tipping points include (1) the IS strategy of spreading the conflict to Lebanon, and the consequent disintegration of the army along sectarian lines, (2) democratic decline and popular dissatisfaction, (3) Hizbullah’s domestic ambitions and Israeli fears over the group’s growing military power and (4) the potential for frustration between refugees and host communities turning into recurrent violence. However, (5) the slow economic decline and the worsening sanitary conditions stand out as the greatest challenges. |
| 英文关键词 | Midtøsten og Nord Afrika / The Middle East and North Africa |
| URL | 查看原文 |
| 来源平台 | Center for International Climate and Environmental Research-Oslo (CICERO) |
| 文献类型 | 科技报告 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/2277 |
| 专题 | 气候变化 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Gade, Tine. Lebanon on the brink,2016. |
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