Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1289/EHP2198 |
Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System | |
Semenza, Jan C.1; Trinanes, Joaquin2,3,4; Lohr, Wolfgang5,6; Sudre, Bertrand7; Lofdahl, Margareta8; Martinez-Urtaza, Jaime9,10; Nichols, Gordon L.11,12,13; Rocklov, Joacim5,6 | |
2017-10-01 | |
发表期刊 | ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES
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ISSN | 0091-6765 |
EISSN | 1552-9924 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 125期号:10 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Sweden; Spain; USA; England |
英文摘要 | BACKGROUND: Some Vibrio spp. are pathogenic and ubiquitous in marine waters with low to moderate salinity and thrive with elevated sea surface temperature (SST). OBJECTIVES: Our objective was to monitor and project the suitability of marine conditions for Vibrio infections under climate change scenarios. METHODS: The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) developed a platform (the ECDC Vibrio Map Viewer) to monitor the environmental suitability of coastal waters for Vibrio spp. using remotely sensed SST and salinity. A case-crossover study of Swedish cases was conducted to ascertain the relationship between SST and Vibrio infection through a conditional logistic regression. Climate change projections for Vibrio infections were developed for Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and RCP 8.5. RESULTS: The ECDC Vibrio Map Viewer detected environmentally suitable areas for Vibrio spp. in the Baltic Sea in July 2014 that were accompanied by a spike in cases and one death in Sweden. The estimated exposure response relationship for Vibrio infections at a threshold of 16 degrees C revealed a relative risk (RR) = 1.14 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.27; p=0.024) for a lag of 2 wk; the estimated risk increased successively beyond this SST threshold. Climate change projections for SST under the RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios indicate a marked upward trend during the summer months and an increase in the relative risk of these infections in the coming decades. CONCLUSIONS: This platform can serve as an early warning system as the risk of further Vibrio infections increases in the 21st ritui due to climate change. |
领域 | 资源环境 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000413793300016 |
WOS关键词 | ESTUARINE WATERS ; WOUND-INFECTION ; BALTIC SEA ; PARAHAEMOLYTICUS ; VULNIFICUS ; DISEASES ; ECOLOGY ; EUROPE ; TEMPERATURE ; EMERGENCE |
WOS类目 | Environmental Sciences ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
WOS研究方向 | Environmental Sciences & Ecology ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Toxicology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/22948 |
专题 | 资源环境科学 |
作者单位 | 1.European Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Sci Assessment Sect, Stockholm, Sweden; 2.Univ Santiago de Compostela, Inst Invest Tecnolox, Santiago, Spain; 3.NOAA, Phys Oceanog Div, Atlantic Oceanog & Meteorol Lab, Miami, FL USA; 4.Univ Miami, Rosenstiel Sch Marine & Atmospher Sci, Cooperat Inst Marine & Atmospher Studies, 4600 Rickenbacker Causeway, Miami, FL 33149 USA; 5.Umea Univ, Umea Ctr Global Hlth Res, Umea, Sweden; 6.Umea Univ, Dept Publ Hlth & Clin Med, Epidemiol & Global Hlth, Umea, Sweden; 7.European Ctr Dis Prevent & Control, Epidem Intelligence & Response, Stockholm, Sweden; 8.Folkhalsomyndigheten, Stockholm, Sweden; 9.Univ Bath, Dept Biol & Biochem, Milner Ctr Evolut, Bath, Avon, England; 10.CEFAS, Weymouth, England; 11.Publ Hlth England, London, England; 12.Univ Exeter, Exeter, Devon, England; 13.Univ East Anglia, Norwich, Norfolk, England |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Semenza, Jan C.,Trinanes, Joaquin,Lohr, Wolfgang,et al. Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System[J]. ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,2017,125(10). |
APA | Semenza, Jan C..,Trinanes, Joaquin.,Lohr, Wolfgang.,Sudre, Bertrand.,Lofdahl, Margareta.,...&Rocklov, Joacim.(2017).Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System.ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES,125(10). |
MLA | Semenza, Jan C.,et al."Environmental Suitability of Vibrio Infections in a Warming Climate: An Early Warning System".ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH PERSPECTIVES 125.10(2017). |
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