Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1306/07031817387 |
A quantitative probabilistic framework for estimating the critical moment in a petroleum system | |
Amosu, Adewale; Sun, Yuefeng | |
2019 | |
发表期刊 | AAPG BULLETIN
![]() |
ISSN | 0149-1423 |
EISSN | 1558-9153 |
出版年 | 2019 |
卷号 | 103期号:1页码:177-187 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | The petroleum system concept spans the spatial and temporal extent of all elements and processes required for the generation and preservation of petroleum. The critical moment of a petroleum system is the moment with the highest probability for the generation-migration-accumulation of hydrocarbons. It is an important concept in petroleum exploration risk assessment because the stratigraphic and geographic extents of a petroleum system are determined at the critical moment. In petroleum systems, thermal history data, burial history data, and vitrinite reflectance data may be unavailable, unreliable, or incomplete; this introduces significant uncertainty in the choice of the critical moment. We present here a quantitative probabilistic framework for estimating the critical moment and quantifying the associated uncertainty in such cases. We define a probabilistic early bound and late bound for the critical moment (which, combined together, we term the critical range) and then estimate the moment with the highest numerical probability of generation-migration-accumulation. We define the uncertainty associated with the critical moment as half the absolute value of the critical range. In cases with little ambiguity or duplicity in the timing of petroleum system elements and processes, the critical range converges to one point, which is also the critical moment. The probabilistic framework introduces consistency to the critical moment estimation problem and quantifies the level of uncertainty in the estimation. This reduces the risk involved in petroleum exploration assessment. |
领域 | 地球科学 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000455598300008 |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/24601 |
专题 | 地球科学 |
作者单位 | Texas A&M Univ, Dept Geol & Geophys, College Stn, TX 77843 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Amosu, Adewale,Sun, Yuefeng. A quantitative probabilistic framework for estimating the critical moment in a petroleum system[J]. AAPG BULLETIN,2019,103(1):177-187. |
APA | Amosu, Adewale,&Sun, Yuefeng.(2019).A quantitative probabilistic framework for estimating the critical moment in a petroleum system.AAPG BULLETIN,103(1),177-187. |
MLA | Amosu, Adewale,et al."A quantitative probabilistic framework for estimating the critical moment in a petroleum system".AAPG BULLETIN 103.1(2019):177-187. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
个性服务 |
推荐该条目 |
保存到收藏夹 |
查看访问统计 |
导出为Endnote文件 |
谷歌学术 |
谷歌学术中相似的文章 |
[Amosu, Adewale]的文章 |
[Sun, Yuefeng]的文章 |
百度学术 |
百度学术中相似的文章 |
[Amosu, Adewale]的文章 |
[Sun, Yuefeng]的文章 |
必应学术 |
必应学术中相似的文章 |
[Amosu, Adewale]的文章 |
[Sun, Yuefeng]的文章 |
相关权益政策 |
暂无数据 |
收藏/分享 |
除非特别说明,本系统中所有内容都受版权保护,并保留所有权利。
修改评论