资源环境科技发展态势分析平台

We present an efficient mathematical/numerical adjoint sensitivity analysis model for transient radionuclide transport through heterogeneous porous media. This work extends our previous research on radionuclide transport in a steady‐state regime. Both continuous and discrete adjoint approaches have been developed in this current research. The mathematical equations associated with the adjoint system and required for the continuous approach have been derived. The methodology for deriving the discrete adjoint solution is also presented.

For the homogeneous case, the adjoint system for radionuclide decay chain is solved analytically. The four‐member decay chain (²³⁸Pu → ²³⁴U → ²³⁰Th → ²²⁶Ra) is considered for validation. The validity of the analytical adjoint sensitivity model has been shown using two illustrative examples associated with two performance measures. The analytical adjoint states are compared with calculated numerical results and show excellent agreements. The sensitivity coefficients are also computed numerically using the perturbation method. The numerical sensitivity coefficients successfully reproduce the analytically derived sensitivities based on adjoint states.

The adjoint model has been coupled with a derivative‐based global sensitivity method and applied to a real field case involving the performance assessment of a site currently being considered for underground nuclear storage in Northern Switzerland, Zürich Nordost. An illustrative case study of spent fuel and high‐level waste (SF/HLW) repository involving 6 radionuclides and 48 parameters has been considered for identifying the most important parameters with respect to the maximum radionuclide dose at the interface geosphere/biosphere. Based on the results of sensitivity analysis, the uncertainty of the maximum radionuclide dose has been performed using Monte Carlo simulations.