Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1029/2018GL079572 |
Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability | |
Burgos, A. G.1; Hamlington, B. D.2; Thompson, P. R.3; Ray, R. D.4 | |
2018-11-28 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2018 |
卷号 | 45期号:22页码:12432-12439 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Increasing sea level rise will lead to more instances of nuisance flooding along the Virginia coastline in the coming decades, causing road closures and deteriorating infrastructure. These minor flood events can be caused by astronomical tides alone, in addition to internal climate variability on annual to decadal timescales. An assessment of nuisance flooding from these two effects is presented up until the year 2050 for Norfolk, Virginia. The analysis of water levels indicates that nuisance flooding from tides alone in conjunction with a medium-high sea level scenario will result in flooding beginning in 2030 with frequency increasing thereafter. The addition of climate variability, by use of an empirical mode decomposition, leads to a substantial increase of flooding relative to the tides-alone analysis and shows flood events beginning as soon as 2020. High tides in the future will produce nuisance flooding without the need of other drivers such as coastal storms. Plain Language Summary As sea level continues to rise, coastal cities are going to start to see increases in nuisance flooding. This minor flooding is generally caused by tides and wind events, leading to inundation that over time deteriorates roads and infrastructure. Nuisance flooding in Norfolk, Virginia, has increased 325% since 1960 and is becoming more prominent. By combining sea level estimates, tidal estimates, and natural internal climate variability contributions to sea level rise, we have determined how nuisance flooding will increase in the future for Norfolk up until the year 2050. Our analyses show that this flooding will continue to increase in frequency with time, with a potential for well over 200 flood events in the year 2049. |
英文关键词 | nuisance flooding sea level rise internal climate variability |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000453250000037 |
WOS关键词 | US EAST-COAST ; SEA-LEVEL RISE ; UNITED-STATES ; GULF-STREAM ; TRENDS ; OSCILLATION ; EXTREME ; IMPACT |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/25556 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.Old Dominion Univ, Dept Ocean Earth & Atmospher Sci, Norfolk, VA 23529 USA; 2.CALTECH, Jet Prop Lab, Pasadena, CA USA; 3.Univ Hawaii Manoa, Dept Oceanog, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA; 4.NASA, Lab Geodesy & Geophys, Goddard Space Flight Ctr, Greenbelt, MD USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Burgos, A. G.,Hamlington, B. D.,Thompson, P. R.,et al. Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2018,45(22):12432-12439. |
APA | Burgos, A. G.,Hamlington, B. D.,Thompson, P. R.,&Ray, R. D..(2018).Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,45(22),12432-12439. |
MLA | Burgos, A. G.,et al."Future Nuisance Flooding in Norfolk, VA, From Astronomical Tides and Annual to Decadal Internal Climate Variability".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 45.22(2018):12432-12439. |
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