Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2017GL074811 |
Natural and Human-Induced Variability in Barrier-Island Response to Sea Level Rise | |
Miselis, Jennifer L.1; Lorenzo-Trueba, Jorge2 | |
2017-12-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 44期号:23 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | USA |
英文摘要 | Storm-driven sediment fluxes onto and behind barrier islands help coastal barrier systems keep pace with sea level rise (SLR). Understanding what controls cross-shore sediment flux magnitudes is critical for making accurate forecasts of barrier response to increased SLR rates. Here, using an existing morphodynamic model for barrier island evolution, observations are used to constrain model parameters and explore potential variability in future barrier behavior. Using modeled drowning outcomes as a proxy for vulnerability to SLR, 0%, 28%, and 100% of the barrier is vulnerable to SLR rates of 4, 7, and 10 mm/yr, respectively. When only overwash fluxes are increased in the model, drowning vulnerability increases for the same rates of SLR, suggesting that future increases in storminess may increase island vulnerability particularly where sediment resources are limited. Developed sites are more vulnerable to SLR, indicating that anthropogenic changes to overwash fluxes and estuary depths could profoundly affect future barrier response to SLR. |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000419102400028 |
WOS关键词 | COASTAL ; STRATIGRAPHY ; DEPOSITION |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/25777 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | 1.US Geol Survey, St Petersburg, FL 33701 USA; 2.Montclair State Univ, Ctr Environm & Life Sci, Montclair, NJ 07043 USA |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Miselis, Jennifer L.,Lorenzo-Trueba, Jorge. Natural and Human-Induced Variability in Barrier-Island Response to Sea Level Rise[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(23). |
APA | Miselis, Jennifer L.,&Lorenzo-Trueba, Jorge.(2017).Natural and Human-Induced Variability in Barrier-Island Response to Sea Level Rise.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(23). |
MLA | Miselis, Jennifer L.,et al."Natural and Human-Induced Variability in Barrier-Island Response to Sea Level Rise".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.23(2017). |
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