Global S&T Development Trend Analysis Platform of Resources and Environment
DOI | 10.1002/2017GL073217 |
Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall | |
Brown, Josephine R.; Moise, Aurel F.; Colman, Robert A. | |
2017-06-16 | |
发表期刊 | GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
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ISSN | 0094-8276 |
EISSN | 1944-8007 |
出版年 | 2017 |
卷号 | 44期号:11 |
文章类型 | Article |
语种 | 英语 |
国家 | Australia |
英文摘要 | Changes in rainfall variability in future climate will pose challenges for adaptation. To evaluate changes in Asian-Australian monsoon wet season rainfall, daily data from historical and future (Representative Concentration Pathway RCP8.5) climate simulations are band pass-filtered to isolate variability on near-daily, weekly, monthly, intraseasonal, annual, interannual, and decadal time scales. This method is used to quantify changes in variability from 35 coupled climate models for each time scale over the Australian, South Asian, and East Asian monsoon domains. In nearly all cases, the median model change is positive, indicating increased rainfall variability, although with large model spread. The role of increased atmospheric moisture is examined by estimating the change due to an idealized thermodynamic enhancement. This enhancement produces increases in variability that are within the range of the simulated changes under the RCP8.5 scenario, indicating that thermodynamic responses provide a first-order explanation for the increased daily to decadal monsoon rainfall variability. |
英文关键词 | monsoons precipitation climate change variability models |
领域 | 气候变化 |
收录类别 | SCI-E |
WOS记录号 | WOS:000404382600049 |
WOS关键词 | CLIMATE-CHANGE ; CMIP5 ; DATASET ; CYCLE |
WOS类目 | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS研究方向 | Geology |
引用统计 | |
文献类型 | 期刊论文 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/25989 |
专题 | 气候变化 |
作者单位 | Bur Meteorol, Div Res & Dev, Melbourne, Vic, Australia |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Brown, Josephine R.,Moise, Aurel F.,Colman, Robert A.. Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(11). |
APA | Brown, Josephine R.,Moise, Aurel F.,&Colman, Robert A..(2017).Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(11). |
MLA | Brown, Josephine R.,et al."Projected increases in daily to decadal variability of Asian-Australian monsoon rainfall".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.11(2017). |
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