GSTDTAP  > 气候变化
DOI10.1002/2017GL074244
Why 2015 was a strong El Nino and 2014 was not
Wang, Guomin; Hendon, Harry H.
2017-08-28
发表期刊GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
ISSN0094-8276
EISSN1944-8007
出版年2017
卷号44期号:16
文章类型Article
语种英语
国家Australia
英文摘要

Anomalous oceanic and atmospheric conditions in the tropical Pacific were similar in the early months of 2014 and 2015, both apparently favoring onset of El Nino. Despite high expectations, the 2014 event did not truly take hold, but the 2015 event developed into a very strong El Nino. Here we argue that mean state differences played important roles in promoting El Nino in 2015 and not favoring growth in 2014. We show that the mean state difference in the Pacific between 2015 and 2014 was similar to the shift from cold phase to warm phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO). We demonstrate that this mean state change affected El Nino development between the two years using a forecast sensitivity experiment. The cold IPO-like mean state during 2014 acted to reduce the coupled feedbacks, while the warm IPO-like mean state of 2015 acted to enhance the coupled feedbacks.


英文关键词El Nino dynamics Pacific mean state atmosphere-ocean interaction El Nino 2014 El Nino 2015
领域气候变化
收录类别SCI-E
WOS记录号WOS:000410658800055
WOS关键词WESTERLY WIND BURSTS ; TROPICAL PACIFIC ; MEAN STATE ; ENSO ; VARIABILITY ; MODEL ; OSCILLATION ; CLIMATE ; EVENTS
WOS类目Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS研究方向Geology
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文献类型期刊论文
条目标识符http://119.78.100.173/C666/handle/2XK7JSWQ/26896
专题气候变化
作者单位Bur Meteorol, Melbourne, Vic, Australia
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GB/T 7714
Wang, Guomin,Hendon, Harry H.. Why 2015 was a strong El Nino and 2014 was not[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2017,44(16).
APA Wang, Guomin,&Hendon, Harry H..(2017).Why 2015 was a strong El Nino and 2014 was not.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,44(16).
MLA Wang, Guomin,et al."Why 2015 was a strong El Nino and 2014 was not".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 44.16(2017).
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